{"id":8453,"date":"2026-08-04T09:05:01","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:05:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=8453"},"modified":"2026-08-04T09:05:01","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:05:01","slug":"what-to-watch-in-michigans-democratic-senate-showdown-and-other-key-races-in-tuesdays-primaries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=8453","title":{"rendered":"What to watch in Michigan\u2019s Democratic Senate showdown and other key races in Tuesday\u2019s primaries"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n Michigan Democrats on Tuesday will settle a Senate primary that has emerged as the most significant test of the party\u2019s direction this year \u2014 one that will gauge whether the progressive insurgency that has toppled establishment figures and incumbents on deep blue turf all spring and summer extends into one of the nation\u2019s biggest political battlegrounds.\n <\/p>

Read more Trump lashes out as political losses pile up<\/a><\/p>\n

\n Progressive former public health official Abdul El-Sayed faces the more moderate Rep. Haley Stevens in the race to take on Republican former Rep. Mike Rogers. The race has implications that extend into 2028, offering prospective presidential candidates a glimpse at what the party\u2019s electorate wants in Michigan, likely to be one of the first six states to vote in the Democratic nominating calendar and a must-win in the general election.\n <\/p>\n

\n Most important, though, is what Tuesday\u2019s outcome means for Democrats\u2019 chances of netting the four-seat gain they need to take the Senate majority in November. The Democratic establishment in Washington believes Stevens is best-positioned to keep the seat of retiring Sen. Gary Peters in the party\u2019s hands. But if El-Sayed wins, progressives who have long maintained that their approach can build a new coalition will have their chance to prove it.\n <\/p>\n

\nEDITOR\u2019S NOTE:<\/span>\u00a0 Join John King at CNN\u2019s Magic Wall as he breaks down primary election results and takes your questions live on Tuesday night, starting at 9 pm ET.\n<\/p>\n

\n The race is one of several high-profile contests on the ballot Tuesday in primaries in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington state.\n <\/p>\n

\n In Michigan and Missouri, democratic socialists will look to unseat two more incumbent House Democrats. In Kansas, the party could nominate a pastor with a short but prolific fundraising record in a long-shot Senate contest.\n <\/p>\n

\n Tuesday\u2019s races will also settle open gubernatorial primaries in Kansas and Michigan, both of which could be competitive in November.\n <\/p>\n

\n And in Virginia, Democrats will set about trying to flip as many as three seats, after the state Supreme Court invalidated a congressional map that could have given them a better chance at winning four.\n <\/p>\n

\n Here are the key races to watch in Tuesday\u2019s primaries:\n <\/p>\n

\n Michigan Senate battle tests Democratic Party\u2019s direction\n<\/h2>\n

\n After a season of primary battles that brought into clear view the Democratic Party\u2019s clear divides over ideology and electability, Tuesday\u2019s showdown in Michigan might be the biggest of all.\n <\/p>\n

\n The electorate is expected to break down along lines similar to the last two Democratic presidential primaries. El-Sayed\u2019s campaign believes he will be strongest with the same voters who propelled Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders to a win in the 2016 Michigan primary: White progressives and young voters. Stevens\u2019 support is expected to come from the coalition that helped Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden ultimately defeat Sanders for the party\u2019s nomination those last two elections: Older voters and particularly Black voters in and around Detroit.\n <\/p>\n

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\nDemocratic US Senate candidate Abdul Al-Sayed speaks to reporters following a Sunday service at New Bethel Missionary Church in Pontiac, Michigan, on Sunday, July 26.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Emily Elconin for CNN<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\nBlack voters may decide the nation\u2019s biggest Democratic primary. Many are clearly against the more progressive option<\/span>\n<\/p>\n

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\n El-Sayed has highlighted his opposition to Israel\u2019s war in Gaza following Hamas\u2019 October 7, 2023, attacks, his support for expanding Medicare to cover all Americans in place of private health insurance and his rejection of corporate money in politics. Touting her role staffing the Obama administration\u2019s bailout of the automotive industry, Stevens pitches herself as the most electable candidate in November, calling herself a \u201cworkhorse\u201d focused on pocketbook issues and El-Sayed a \u201cshow horse\u201d with larger political ambitions.\n <\/p>\n

\n One way to understand the importance of the Michigan Senate primary to the overall trajectory of the Democratic Party is to examine how much outside spending flooded Michigan\u2019s airwaves \u2014 nearly all of it intended to bolster Stevens and dent El-Sayed.\n <\/p>\n

\n The biggest spender was the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, which pumped nearly $32 million into television advertising intended to defeat El-Sayed via the super PAC United Democracy Project.\n <\/p>\n

\n Combined, outside spending benefited Stevens over El-Sayed by about a 30-1 margin \u2014 with $62.2 million supporting Stevens and $2.1 million aligned with El-Sayed.\n <\/p>\n

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\n Next Democratic incumbent to fall?\n<\/h2>\n

\n In another marquee Michigan race, Rep. Shri Thanedar could become the next Democrat to lose his reelection bid to a democratic socialist challenger as he faces off with state Rep. Donavan McKinney.\n <\/p>\n

\n But it\u2019s not just progressives, including Sanders, who are rallying behind McKinney. Thanedar, 71, is an Indian American immigrant who represents a seat centered on majority-Black Detroit, and members of the Congressional Black Caucus have split on the 13th District primary \u2014 with several endorsing McKinney.\n <\/p>\n

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\nRep. Shri Thanedar speaks during a news conference in front of the US Capitol on May 14, 2025, in which he announced that he is filing articles of impeachment to impeach President Donald Trump.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Alex Wong\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n As Thanedar seeks a third term, he doesn\u2019t have the political edge that has helped him in the past: A primary field of Black candidates who fractured the vote in several directions. Thanedar also angered some Democrats by pursuing a rogue effort to impeach Trump last year.\n <\/p>\n

\n The unique dynamics of this race mean it might not carry the same broader implications about the direction of the Democratic Party as other primaries in which democratic socialists toppled incumbents in New York and Colorado.\n <\/p>\n

\n A progressive win in a swing House district?\n<\/h2>\n

\n Potentially more relevant as a gauge of the direction of the Democratic Party is Michigan\u2019s battleground 7th District, a Lansing-area seat where some in the party are anxious that a win by progressive activistWilliam Lawrence could damage the party\u2019s chances of ousting freshman Republican Rep. Tom Barrett.\n <\/p>\n

\n The co-founder of the climate activist group the Sunrise Movement faces former US Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam in the three-way primary. Many Democrats fear that moderate votes will be split between Brink and Maasdam.\n <\/p>\n

\nEDITOR\u2019S NOTE:<\/span>\u00a0 Join CNN\u2019s Kasie Hunt and David Chalian as they answer subscriber questions about the midterm elections in a live, interactive Q&A on Wednesday, starting at 10:30 am ET.\n<\/p>\n

\n Lawrence ignited controversy when The Huffington Post in July reported that he\u2019d said on a 2024 podcast that Black political leaders\u2019 support for Democratic leadership \u201cdefangs the White left.\u201d He has since apologized for those remarks.\n <\/p>

Read more Three cases of rare tick-borne disease \u2018rabbit fever\u2019 suspected in New York<\/a><\/p>\n

\n He is supported by a number of prominent progressives, including Sanders, Michigan Rep. Rashida Tlaib and California Rep. Ro Khanna. But New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who appeared on-stage at a rally that included Lawrence and El-Sayed, notably did not wade into the race.\n <\/p>\n

\n A pastor looks to give Democrats a chance in Kansas Senate race\n<\/h2>\n

\n Kansas has a history of delivering Democrats surprise victories within the last decade. Two-term Gov. Laura Kelly twice beat Republicans in the red state. And in the immediate wake of the US Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade, voters in 2022 overwhelmingly rejected an amendment that said there was no constitutional right to abortion in the state.\n <\/p>\n

\n Adam Hamilton, a Democrat vying for the nomination to take on Republican Sen. Roger Marshall, is seeking to deliver the latest of those surprises \u2014 and improve Democrats\u2019 chances of flipping the Senate in November.\n <\/p>\n

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\nAdam Hamilton speaks during a campaign stop at Celtic Fox in Topeka, Kansas, on July 21.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Jason Alatidd\/The Capital-Journal\/USA Today Network\/Imagn<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Hamilton, the founding pastor at United Methodist Church of the Resurrection, a megachurch in Kansas City, is pitching himself as a bridge-builder who would reject overt partisanship. First, though, he needs to defeat 10 other Democrats in Tuesday\u2019s primary.\n <\/p>\n

\n So far, he has proven to be the most prolific fundraiser in the Democratic field, raising $4.1 million in the first few months of his campaign with more than $1.7 million in the bank as of mid-July.\n <\/p>\n

\n The Democratic effort to flip at least four GOP-held Senate seats will require the party to win in traditionally red states. North Carolina and Maine are among the party\u2019s top targets, and the most favorable to Democrats. But they\u2019ll also need some mix of Alaska, Ohio, Iowa, Texas or even a longer-shot like Kansas to prove competitive in order to win the majority.\n <\/p>\n

\n A rematch in St. Louis\n<\/h2>\n

\n Cori Bush is another democratic socialist who could unseat a Democratic incumbent \u2014 Rep. Wesley Bell \u2014 in a primary.\n <\/p>\n

\n But their contest has its own dynamics: Bush has held the seat before. She ousted former Rep. William Lacy Clay in a 2020 primary and went on to join the progressive \u201cSquad\u201d during her two terms in Washington. Bell, bolstered by heavy outside spending from an AIPAC-linked super PAC, defeated Bush in the deep-blue, St. Louis-based district in 2024.\n <\/p>\n

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\nFormer Rep. Cori Bush speaks during a campaign rally in St. Louis, on July 18.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
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\nRep. Wesley Bell speaks at a healthcare rally in Ferguson, Missouri, on July 24.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Michael Thomas\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n The Missouri 1st District primary is another test of what Democratic primary voters are looking for: a moderate who touts his work with the state\u2019s overwhelmingly Republican delegation, or a progressive brawler more comfortable using the bully pulpit.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s also another race that pits a staunch ally of Israel in Bell against a critic of its actions in Gaza in Bush. Like 2024, AIPAC has spent heavily to bolster Bell, with the United Democracy Project super PAC pumping more than $3 million into the race.\n <\/p>\n

\n Democrats vie to hold onto governor\u2019s seats in Kansas and Michigan\n<\/h2>\n

\n Two states holding primaries on Tuesday \u2014 Kansas and Michigan \u2014 feature governor\u2019s races this year, and both could be competitive come November.\n <\/p>\n

\n Kansas has the more interesting and competitive primaries.\n <\/p>\n

\n On the Democratic side, state Sen. Ethan Corson is backed by term-limited Gov. Kelly and vowing to work across the aisle in a similar fashion. State Sen. Cindy Holscher is promising a more combative, populist style taking Republicans head-on, but some fear that\u2019s not a recipe for success in red Kansas.\n <\/p>\n

\n On the GOP side, state Senate President Ty Masterson has the crucial Trump endorsement and would seem the favorite in a crowded field featuring, among others, Secretary of State Scott Schwab and Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt. But he\u2019s dealing with some late attacks on his past support for data center construction.\n<\/p>\n

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\nKansas state Senate President Ty Masterson talks alongside his gubernatorial running mate, state Sen. Jeff Klemp, at the Docking State Office Building, in Topeka, Kansas, on June 1.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Evert Nelson\/The Capital-Journal\/USA Today Network\/Imagn<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n In Michigan, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson is a heavy favorite to win the Democratic nomination and could build a national profile if she succeeds term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.\n <\/p>\n

\n On the GOP side, Trump-backed Rep. John James is trying to fend off the well-funded campaign of former long-shot presidential candidate Perry Johnson.\n <\/p>\n

\n Democrats\u2019 second take in Virginia\n<\/h2>\n

\n Democrats suffered a major setback in their quest to win back the House in May, when the Virginia Supreme Court struck down a new congressional map that had been approved by voters.\n <\/p>\n

\n The map promised to add as many as four new Democratic-friendly seats and help the party offset new GOP districts that Republicans had drawn in other states.\n <\/p>\n

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\nThe US Capitol on May 21.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Aaron Schwartz\/Bloomberg\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\nRepublicans are poised to finish this year\u2019s redistricting war 10 seats ahead of Democrats<\/span>\n<\/p>\n

8 min read<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n

\n But Virginia remains very important to Democrats\u2019 majority math in 2026, thanks to a number of potential pickups.\n <\/p>\n

\n The 1st and 2nd Districts are clearly their best shots, while they could have an outside shot in the 5th.\n <\/p>\n

\n Perhaps the one big primary in these districts Tuesday is the Democratic race to face GOP Rep. Rob Wittman in the 1st. Henrico County Commonwealth\u2019s Attorney Shannon Taylor faces a crowded field that includes lawyer Salaam Bhatti, but she has largely locked down the major endorsements.\n <\/p>\n

\n The other two races feature attempted comebacks from former Democratic members of Congress. Elaine Luria looks to face Rep. Jen Kiggans, while Tom Perriello seeks a match up with Rep. John McGuire.\n <\/p>

Read more One mistake Trump hasn\u2019t made on Iran<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Michigan Democrats on Tuesday will settle a Senate primary that has emerged as the most significant test of the party\u2019s direction this year \u2014 one that will gauge whether the progressive insurgency that has toppled establishment figures and incumbents on deep blue turf all spring and summer extends into one of the nation\u2019s biggest political battlegrounds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8440,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat to watch in Michigan\u2019s Democratic Senate showdown and other key races in Tuesday\u2019s primaries - Relocation Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=8453\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What to watch in Michigan\u2019s Democratic Senate showdown and other key races in Tuesday\u2019s primaries - 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