{"id":5529,"date":"2026-07-12T11:32:49","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T11:32:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5529"},"modified":"2026-07-12T11:32:49","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T11:32:49","slug":"it-was-supposed-to-be-trumps-big-legislative-achievement-it-could-be-a-weapon-for-democrats-to-win-in-the-midterms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5529","title":{"rendered":"It was supposed to be Trump\u2019s big legislative achievement. It could be a weapon for Democrats to win in the midterms"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the nation\u2019s founding on July Fourth with a speech touting a roaring stock market, urging election reforms, and hailing military interventions in Venezuela and Iran.\n <\/p>

Read more \u2018Islamic Republic of Japan\u2019: Trump\u2019s verbal flubs are piling up<\/a><\/p>\n

\n But another anniversary went conspicuously unmarked: the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law by Trump exactly one year earlier.\n <\/p>\n

\n At its ceremonious signing, the act seemed poised to be a defining legislative achievement for Republicans to run on in November.\n <\/p>\n

\n But 12 months later, the law\u2019s cutbacks to key safety-net programs such as Medicaid and food stamps have fueled a chorus of criticism, challenging the effort to promote its populist and business-friendly tax cuts.\n <\/p>\n

\n While the president and his party have sought to play up the law\u2019s most popular provisions, even attempting to recast it as a \u201cWorking Families Tax Cut Bill,\u201d Democrats have seized on negative polling and the Republican rebrand as evidence of its failures.\n <\/p>\n

\n Today, it looks increasingly uncertain which party will benefit from the law\u2019s passage, as the landmark policy package has become a major factor in competitive battleground races that could decide control of the House of Representatives.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe know that it\u2019s going to be a robust campaign,\u201d said Rep. Tom Barrett, a Republican seeking reelection in Michigan\u2019s 7th District. \u201cI represent one of the top targeted districts in the entire country, and it\u2019s on me to go out and sell the merits of this.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Healthcare fallout\n<\/h2>\n

\n Historic reductions to federal Medicaid spending and changes to eligibility requirements quickly emerged as the most politically fraught component of the legislation.\n <\/p>\n

\n The law, known as OBBBA, is projected to slash roughly $1.2 trillion from the key public health insurance program for lower-income Americans through 2035, leaving 7.5 million more people without coverage by 2034, according to the Congressional Budget Office. The most notable provision adds a federal work requirement to Medicaid, a longtime GOP goal.\n <\/p>\n

\n Democrats across the country have ripped into the GOP over the sweeping changes.\n <\/p>\n

\n In California\u2019s battleground 22nd District, for example, Democrat Randy Villegas has made fallout from the Medicaid cuts a centerpiece of his campaign against incumbent GOP Rep. David Valadao.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe\u2019re the most impacted in the entire country, where two out of every three of our constituents rely on Medicaid,\u201d Villegas told CNN.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cAlmost 70,000 people stand to lose healthcare in our district,\u201d he said, adding that local clinics he\u2019s spoken to are \u201cworried about the possibility of shutting down and not being able to provide services to our community.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

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\nCare advocates attend 24-hour vigil at the US Capitol to share stories and urge lawmakers to protect Medicaid on May 7, 2025.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Leigh Vogel\/Getty Images for Caring Across Generations<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Valadao has said that OBBBA will preserve Medicaid long term.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cOne of my goals representing the Central Valley is to protect Medicaid for those who truly need it the most: seniors, vulnerable children, and disabled Americans,\u201d he said in a statement to CNN last month.\n <\/p>\n

\n In Iowa\u2019s competitive US Senate race, Democrat Josh Turek has hammered Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson over her vote for the legislation and its reforms, which have stressed healthcare providers. Turek \u2014 who uses a wheelchair because of his spina bifida, attributed to his father\u2019s exposure to Agent Orange during the Vietnam War \u2014 references his own experience navigating the healthcare system to underscore his opposition to the changes.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI certainly know firsthand the importance of access to quality healthcare,\u201d he has said.\n <\/p>\n

\n The effect on healthcare in rural parts of the country was a subject of concern before the bill became law, including among moderate Republicans. As a concession, the final package created a $50 billion Rural Health Transformation Program designed to buttress rural healthcare.\n <\/p>\n

\n Hinson and her allies have touted the program to voters. An ad from the National Republican Senatorial Committee pointed out that it secures \u201cmore than $209 million for rural healthcare in Iowa.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n The fund should provide a much-needed, though temporary, investment in communities that have long lacked adequate healthcare services, experts said. States plan to use the funds to address chronic disease, beef up workforces and expand telehealth services, among other uses.\n <\/p>\n

\n But the program doesn\u2019t come close to replacing the estimated $137 billion in federal Medicaid funding that rural areas are projected to lose over a decade, according to nonprofit health policy group KFF. Iowa, for instance, is expected to lose more than $3.8 billion in federal Medicaid spending during that period.\n <\/p>\n

\n Notably, the work mandate and more frequent eligibility checks in Medicaid are expected to increase the strain, particularly in rural areas, as people lose coverage.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThere\u2019s no doubt that the $50 billion investment for rural health transformation is helpful,\u201d said Timothy McBride, a health economics professor at Washington University\u2019s School of Public Health. \u201cBut the net effect is probably going to be that the rural health systems will be worse off.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Republican Rep. Derrick Van Orden, who represents Wisconsin\u2019s 3rd District \u2014 among the most competitive in the country \u2014 said the reforms were necessary to root out waste and fraud.\n <\/p>\n

\n And \u201cthere\u2019s truly dignity in working and supporting yourself and your family, and that\u2019s what Republicans are trying to return to Americans,\u201d he added.\n <\/p>\n

\n But Democrats have historically enjoyed an advantage with voters on healthcare issues, and it\u2019s one they are pressing in the midterms. One healthcare advocacy group, Protect Our Care, is launching a nearly $5 million campaign in more than a dozen key states that will include ads, town halls and a bus tour to highlight the healthcare cuts.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cHouse Republicans built their entire legislative agenda around a bill that made life measurably harder, hungrier, and more expensive for working families,\u201d said Justin Chermol, a spokesperson for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. The law would prove to be \u201ca political loser that will drag down every vulnerable Republican running in a swing seat this November,\u201d he predicted.\n <\/p>\n

\n Touting no taxes on tips, no taxes on overtime\n<\/h2>\n

\n Earlier this year, Trump claimed, inaccurately,that the law contained the largest tax cuts in American history, \u201cincluding no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on Social Security for our great seniors.\u201d\n <\/p>

Read more Iran war heats up while US weapon stocks remain depleted, risking military\u2019s ability to fight future wars<\/a><\/p>\n

\nA signature 2024 campaign promise, it\u2019s been an emphatic talking point for members facing election in 2026.\n <\/p>\n

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\nPresident Donald Trump arrives to speak on his policy to end taxes on tips in Las Vegas on January 25, 2025.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Mandel Ngan\/AFP\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n In battleground races in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, in the country\u2019s manufacturing heartlands \u2014 where seasonal laborers and hourly workers represent key constituencies \u2014 Republicans have been making the rounds to small businesses and construction crews to highlight the multitude of tax provisions in the law.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI took a trip out to a road paving site in my district, and the workers there were very excited about no taxes on overtime,\u201d said Barrett, the Michigan lawmaker. \u201cA lot of them, because of the seasonal nature of road paving in Michigan, work a lot of overtime hours during the paving season and work less during the non-paving season, so this was a really critical thing for them.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Van Orden also pointed to provisions to encourage business investment. \u201cI was just with two different manufacturers today, and they\u2019re both utilizing this program,\u201d he said.\n <\/p>\n

\n For Democrats, the criticism here is nuanced. Rep. Susie Lee is seeking reelection in the highly competitive 3rd District of Nevada, covering southern Las Vegas, where calls for \u201cno taxes on tips\u201d resonated with the large population employed in the services industry.\n <\/p>\n

\n Lee, who voted against OBBBA, said she supports cutting taxes on tips and overtime. But \u201cthe fact that this expires in \u201928 when you\u2019re giving the wealthiest Americans tax cuts that never expire seems a little unfair to me,\u201d she said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Lee also argued that whatever benefits the tax cuts provided for working Americans have been offset by cost-of-living increases she blames on the Trump administration.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cYou know, I have Tasia, she\u2019s a 33-year-old waitress. She received a $2,500 refund, but she had to turn around and spend it on medical care, because she couldn\u2019t afford health insurance, and had foregone purchasing insurance,\u201d Lee said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Overall, the tax measures in the law, including making permanent individual income tax provisions and a major business tax break from 2017, disproportionately help the wealthy. About 85% of filers will receive a tax cut in 2026. But those in the bottom fifth of the income ladder will see only a 0.8% uptick in after-tax income, while those in the top fifth get a 3.4% boost, according to the nonpartisan Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center.\n <\/p>\n

\n And many of the temporary deductions \u2014 including an enhanced deduction for senior citizens and a tax break on auto loan interest \u2014 primarily benefit middle-class and upper-middle-class taxpayers, said Joseph Rosenberg, a senior fellow at the center.\n <\/p>\n

\n But more money in voters\u2019 pockets is a powerful argument for Republicans.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cVoters know the difference between a party that lets them keep more of what they earn and one that keeps asking them to pay more for their radical socialist agenda, and that choice will be crystal clear on Election Day,\u201d said Mike Marinella, a spokesperson for the National Republican Congressional Committee.\n <\/p>\n

\n Savings and costs\n<\/h2>\n
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\nA grocery store that accepts food stamps is seen on October 31, 2025, in Miami.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Joe Raedle\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Democrats are betting that the bill\u2019s changes to safety-net programs like Medicaid and food stamps will matter more to voters than the tax savings and economic stimulus.\n <\/p>\n

\n On top of the major changes to Medicaid, the OBBBA is projected to slash federal support for food stamps by nearly $187 billion over a decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office \u2014 the largest cut in the program\u2019s history, advocates say. Expanded work requirements, which have already kicked in, are forecast to reduce enrollment in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP, by 2.4 million people a month, on average, according to CBO.\n <\/p>\n

\n JoAnna Mendoza, the Democrat challenging GOP Rep. Juan Ciscomani in Arizona\u2019s toss-up 6th District, is campaigning on the loss of support for vulnerable community members.\n <\/p>\n

\n Voters she talked to described growing pressure to put food on the table, said Mendoza, who grew up in a family that relied on food stamps. \u201cWe need to make sure mom-and-pops are able to stay up, that families have what they need to make sure that they\u2019re able to feed their kids,\u201d she said.\n <\/p>\n

\n SNAP enrollment has plummeted by more than 4 million people between July 2025 and March 2026, according to an analysis of US Department of Agriculture and state data by the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Much of the decline likely stems from states implementing documentation and work requirements, as well as expanded limits on immigrants\u2019 eligibility.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cPeople are hitting an administrative wall,\u201d said Joseph Llobrera, senior director of research for food assistance at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.\n <\/p>\n

\n Van Orden said the criticism is misguided. \u201cIf there\u2019s less money going into the SNAP program, it\u2019s not because Republicans are trying to cut benefits. It\u2019s because the economy is improving and people are getting off the program as designed, or they\u2019ve been committing fraud,\u201d the Wisconsin Republican said.\n <\/p>\n

\n And Barrett said he heard fromconstituents who \u201chad a noticeable increase in their tax refund and tax return\u201d from OBBBA.\n <\/p>\n

\n Refunds jumped 11% to more than $3,400, on average, this past tax filing season, according to the Treasury Department.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cIt\u2019s a very direct thing, and it is felt by people. As I like to describe it, the people working the hardest out in the economy have the greatest benefit under this tax proposal that we put forward,\u201d Barrett said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Yet Trump, almost as soon as the bill was passed, acknowledged the messaging challenge. Last August, he was already casting about for better branding. \u201cI\u2019m not going to use the term \u2018great, big, beautiful,\u2019 that was good for getting it approved, but it\u2019s not good for explaining to people what it\u2019s all about,\u201d Trump said.\n <\/p>\n

\n In the year since, distracted by war, inflation and steady streams of controversy, the president has been an uneven messenger for his signature legislative accomplishment \u2014 an opening that Democrats are seizing.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe proof is in the pudding by the fact that they don\u2019t even call it the One Big Beautiful Bill anymore,\u201d said Lee of Nevada. \u201cThat\u2019s how vastly unpopular it is.\u201d\n <\/p>

Read more Sen. Lindsey Graham dies at 71 after sudden illness<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

One year after passing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it no longer seems like the easy win for Republicans to run on in November.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5522,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nIt was supposed to be Trump\u2019s big legislative achievement. 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