{"id":5439,"date":"2026-07-10T20:36:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-10T20:36:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5439"},"modified":"2026-07-10T20:36:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-10T20:36:02","slug":"trump-says-the-iran-ceasefire-is-over-what-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5439","title":{"rendered":"Trump says the Iran ceasefire is \u2018OVER.\u2019 What now?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n

\n The Iran war has apparently entered a new phase.\n <\/p>\n

\n After more than three months of attempts to hold together an exceedingly brittle and confusing pair of ceasefires, President Donald Trump suggested Wednesday that the truce was ending.\n <\/p>\n

Read more Weather delays, moderate turnout: Trump\u2019s Great American State Fair comes to an end<\/a><\/p>\n

\n Then he said it more firmly Friday.\n <\/p>\n

\n The US has agreed to continue talks, Trump wrote on social media, but added that Iran had been informed, \u201cin no uncertain terms, that the Cease Fire is OVER!\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n So what does this mean? And where does it leave the United States \u2014 both with the war effort and the politics that surround it?\n <\/p>\n

\n Here are some key points and questions.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s not clear what Trump means
\n<\/h2>\n

\n As with many of the president\u2019s pronouncements, it\u2019s not clear how lasting the sentiment will be. As of Friday morning, there\u2019s been a lull in strikes, so it\u2019s not as if full-scale war has returned.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump\u2019s statement that talks will continue would also seem to suggest he really doesn\u2019t want it to resume and is still fixated on an elusive peace deal.\n <\/p>\n

\n He also this week resurrected his threats to target key Iranian civilian infrastructure, which would quite possibly be a war crime.\n <\/p>\n

\n So it\u2019s possible saying the ceasefire is over is more of a warning than anything else \u2014 the latest attempt by Trump to threaten Iran into submission and to cut an acceptable deal.\n <\/p>\n

\n Of course, that hasn\u2019t really worked before. So why would it now?\n <\/p>\n

\n But an end to the ceasefire would leave difficult choices
\n<\/h2>\n

\n But if Trump is to be taken at face value, this would seem to be a pivot point featuring some difficult choices.\n <\/p>\n

\n For one, does the United States go back to full-scale war in hopes of extracting something significant from Iran?\n <\/p>\n

\n That seems to be the alternative to the ceasefire, judging by Trump\u2019s and the administration\u2019s past rhetoric. But the president also said Wednesday that \u201cI don\u2019t think it\u2019s going to start again\u201d \u2014 referring to large-scale war \u2014 and added, \u201cWe\u2019re not looking for long term.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump has also appeared to lay the groundwork this week for arguing that the war has already succeeded in denuclearizing Iran, even without getting its nuclear material or a long-term nuclear deal. That sounds somewhat like a guy who\u2019s just ready to be done with it all.\n <\/p>\n

\n For another, does the United States reinstitute its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz?\n <\/p>\n

\n The reason the ceasefire crumbled in recent days was that Iran kept striking vessels in the area. The administration has argued the blockade gave the US significant leverage over the situation by applying major pressure on Iran\u2019s economy. So if Tehran isn\u2019t abiding by its promises from the memorandum of understanding to fully reopen the strait, one would think the US would want to reinstitute the blockade it had used as a countermeasure. But so far, there\u2019s no sign of that.\n <\/p>\n

\n Which leads to the big one: What else does the US do about the strait?\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s pretty clear that a major reason for the ceasefire\u2019s shakiness is Iran\u2019s reluctance to give up its trump card: control of the strait. The war has proven Iran\u2019s ability to inflict major damage on the world economy by threatening vessels that move through the strait, which, it\u2019s worth remembering, was open before Trump started the war. That leverage is a huge problem for the US and its Gulf allies \u2014 not just in this war but for the foreseeable future in the Middle East.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s looking more and more like negotiations won\u2019t resolve this, but it\u2019s perhaps the one issue that needs<\/em> to be resolved, somehow.\n <\/p>\n

Read more EPA green-lights more PFAS pesticides despite scientific concerns over toxicity<\/a><\/p>\n

\n Trump\u2019s move could trigger a War Powers problem
\n<\/h2>\n

\n Beyond the difficult decisions in the Middle East are what this means, legally speaking, at home.\n <\/p>\n

\n A true end to the ceasefire would seem to trigger questions about whether the administration must now get authorization from Congress for the war.\n <\/p>\n

\n The War Powers Act states that Congress needs to declare war or authorize the use of military force within 60 days of hostilities starting \u2014 or 90 days if the president seeks an extension.\n <\/p>\n

\n The administration has skirted this requirement by claiming that the war was actually \u201cterminated\u201d when the first ceasefire began on April 7 \u2014 even though the military was still stationed in the region and has occasionally carried out retaliatory strikes.\n <\/p>\n

\n So now that the ceasefire is apparently over and the 90-day window passed in late May, does the administration now have to seek authorization? Logic would suggest it does.\n <\/p>\n

\n Unless the administration is going to argue that the clock now goes back to where it was on April 7 \u2014 or that the US is in a new war. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth once said in congressional testimony that the clock was effectively paused during the ceasefire.\n <\/p>\n

\n Either way, though, Trump\u2019s decision should trigger a real debate about what war powers he should even have right now.\n <\/p>\n

\n Republicans are on the spot again
\n<\/h2>\n

\n That said, there\u2019s not a great way to enforce the War Powers Act unless enough congressional Republicans decide to. They\u2019re the ones who could provide the votes to end the war, via war powers resolutions and other measures.\n <\/p>\n

\n Both the House and Senate have voted narrowly to end the war (though the Senate later reversed itself). And it\u2019s been clear that some Republicans are losing patience with the conflict, given it increasingly threatens their political prospects in the 2026 midterm elections.\n <\/p>\n

\n The question now would seem to be whether the end of the ceasefire might tempt enough of them to either 1) push for Trump to go back to full-scale war in hopes that might achieve an actual victory or 2) decide to try to end the war.\n <\/p>\n

\n When the Senate reversed itself after rebuking Trump last month, it did so thanks to two GOP critics who decided to give Trump some room to operate. Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy set aside his major concerns about the war and Trump\u2019s negotiations after getting a White House briefing, while Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul cited how \u201chostilities seem to be over and the president asked me to give consideration to his negotiating position.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Given the negotiations don\u2019t seem to be working and the ceasefire is over (according to Trump), does Paul go back to voting against Trump\u2019s authority? Does Cassidy \u2014 who\u2019s already been defeated by a Trump-backed primary challenger \u2014 lose patience, too?\n <\/p>\n

\n Similar questions loom over other Republicans who might worry about where this war is going and how much it could cost them in November.\n <\/p>\n

\n And with Trump looking like he has no good options \u2014 or even much of a plan \u2014 they might start to feel the need to do something they\u2019ve avoided like the plague throughout the last 18 months: actually assert their power over him.\n <\/p>\n

Read more Israel shared intel on Iranian hardliners\u2019 desire to target Trump, sources say, as Netanyahu looks to influence course of war<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Iran war has apparently entered a new phase. But the president isn\u2019t being clear about what that means.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5267,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump says the Iran ceasefire is \u2018OVER.\u2019 What now? - Relocation Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5439\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump says the Iran ceasefire is \u2018OVER.\u2019 What now? - Relocation Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Iran war has apparently entered a new phase. 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