{"id":5278,"date":"2026-07-09T05:04:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T05:04:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5278"},"modified":"2026-07-09T05:04:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T05:04:38","slug":"what-options-does-trump-have-now-in-iran-not-many-and-theyre-all-bad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=5278","title":{"rendered":"What options does Trump have now in Iran? Not many, and they\u2019re all bad"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n President Donald Trump\u2019s Iran entanglement is beginning to resemble a visual illusion known as the Penrose stairs, which endlessly climb and descend but always end up in the same place.\n <\/p>

Read more Three more people charged with damaging Reflecting Pool after Trump\u2019s multimillion-dollar restoration<\/a><\/p>\n

\n The predicament is of Trump\u2019s own making after he launched a war that never promised a definitive exit and crafted a memorandum of understanding that failed to address the reasons for the conflict.\n <\/p>\n

\n He was left staring at a familiar dilemma as smoke cleared late Wednesday from new US air strikes to punish Tehran\u2019s attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.\n <\/p>\n

\n Does he escalate the war \u2014 at a potentially high human, economic and political cost \u2014 to try to shatter a new status quo that hands Iran the most leverage? Or does he try to revive a flawed ceasefire that pays Iran billions just to talk?\n <\/p>\n

\n The latest flare-up, just three weeks after Trump signed the MOU with Tehran that he hailed as a deal only he could make, underscored the broad futility of the US war effort so far.\n <\/p>\n

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\"Commercial<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nCommercial vessels are seen in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, on June 30.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Amirhosein Khorgooi\/ISNA\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n In essence, by firing off a new flurry of missiles and air attacks, he risked starting a second war to correct the damage \u2014 Iran\u2019s grip on the Strait of Hormuz \u2014 that was caused by the first.\n <\/p>\n

\n Iran\u2019s attacks on shipping underscored its determination to preserve that leverage, which, apart from its repressive regime\u2019s survival, was its major war gain. It wants to turn the critical oil and gas transit route into revenue by levying tolls. The strikes against several ships seemed intended to force vessels to navigate only along its preferred routes, confirming its dominance.\n <\/p>\n

\n The attacks, and the US reprisals, appear to contradict the MOU. But the document \u2014 negotiated by the team of US envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump\u2019s son-in-law Jared Kushner \u2014 is so vague, lacking in enforcement and credulous about Iran\u2019s intentions that it\u2019s hardly surprising it has already fizzled.\n <\/p>\n

\n A furious Trump said on a trip to the NATO summit in Turkey that the MOU was now \u201cover\u201d and blasted Iran as \u201ccuckoo.\u201d But he said his negotiators could continue talking if they wanted. Deepening the impression of strategic incoherence, he added: \u201cThey\u2019ll never build a nuclear weapon under our deal, but I don\u2019t know if we\u2019re going to have a deal. We may just do it without a deal because you know what, it\u2019s easier.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

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\"Smoke<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nSmoke rises from a port near the Strait of Hormuz following a US strike in Kuhestak, Hormozgan Province, Iran, on Wednesday in this screengrab obtained from a social media video.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Social Media\/UGC\/Reuters<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\nEscalating the war would bring massive costs<\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n

\n Absent some out-of-the-box plan no one has thought of, Trump\u2019s options are narrow and might not work.\n <\/p>\n

\n He could order a massive escalation. While an invasion of Iran is unthinkable, he might contemplate air attacks on Iranian civilian infrastructure or power plants, or an invasion of coastal districts along the strait to drive back Iranian forces. Another possibility is an operation to seize Iran\u2019s Kharg Island oil hub.\n <\/p>\n

\n But the costs could be huge and might trigger the economic backlash he specifically explained he was trying to avoid in signing the MOU. A Marine or special forces assault on Kharg would risk high US casualties. For all his other missteps, Trump has not so far emulated presidents who tried to buy back their own credibility by ordering action that killed many US service personnel or civilians.\n <\/p>\n

\n Any US escalation would not come in a vacuum.\n <\/p>\n

\n Widening target lists in Iran would likely cause payback attacks on US Gulf allies and American regional bases. Oil and gas plants could be in the firing line \u2014 again with the possibility of igniting a global energy crisis.\n <\/p>\n

\n Then Trump would face a backlash at home, including a return to high gasoline prices that helped pummel his political standing during the war and hurt already-perilous Republican Party prospects before the midterm elections.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s not even clear that full-scale war would destroy Iran\u2019s capacity to threaten the strait, given that a few drones could halt commercial shipping from launch sites miles away.\n <\/p>

Read more Graham Platner drops Maine Senate bid, clearing way for Democrats to pick new nominee<\/a><\/p>\n

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\"Smoke<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nSmoke rises from a port near the Strait of Hormuz, following a US strike in Kuhestak, Hormozgan Province, Iran, on Wednesday in this screengrab obtained from a social media video.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Social Media\/UGC\/Reuters<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Rep. Adam Smith, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, said on CNN Wednesday that Trump\u2019s predicament showed why hawks calling on him to \u201cfinish the job\u201d in Iran were misguided. \u201cYou\u2019re not going to be able to, quote, finish the job, unquote, to the point where it breaks Iran,\u201d Smith said. \u201cThat was always the flaw in the argument for starting this war in the first place. And now we\u2019re in that hole.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n In theory, Trump could restore the US blockade on Iranian ships and ports after already rescinding a waiving of oil sanctions agreed under the MOU. But after weeks enduring the first such embargo, Iran came nowhere near the \u201cunconditional surrender\u201d that Trump demanded.\n <\/p>\n

\n Retired Adm. James Stavridis, while acknowledging that Trump didn\u2019t have a great set of options, told CNN\u2019s Jim Sciutto that Trump\u2019s best course of action may be to go after economic targets in Iran. \u201cWe are bringing a knife to a knife fight, but we\u2019ve got a gun,\u201d Stavridis said. \u201cFrankly, I don\u2019t think we\u2019re going to conquer Kharg Island, but we could blockade it. That would be the end of the Iranian economy.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Stavridis caveated his comment with the potential for severe Iranian retaliation. But perhaps sustained, painful economic pressure on Iran might force the regime, despite indifference to the suffering of its citizens, to consider whether it could indefinitely bear the political consequences of a ravaged economy.\n <\/p>\n

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\"President<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nPresident Donald Trump speaks at a press conference during the 2026 NATO Leaders Summit at the Be\u015ftepe Presidential Compound on Wednesday in Ankara, Turkey.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Win McNamee\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\nTrump issues new threats<\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n

\n One possibility might be for Trump to simply walk away, leaving the world with the reality of a contested Strait of Hormuz. That would mean more expensive energy and a dangerous and more expensive passage for ships. Markets might adjust. But he would not be able to insulate the US from economic consequences \u2014 including the stock indexes he uses as a barometer of personal success.\n <\/p>\n

\n Eventually, a lower volume of oil on the market could critically deplete reserve stocks. And ignoring the problem would enshrine an embarrassing defeat for the president and wreck global perceptions of US power. Iran could flaunt its prime leverage from the war in perpetuity.\n <\/p>\n

\n That opportunity is now so valuable that it has caused Iran\u2019s new rulers to risk a deal that provided billions of dollars in waived US sanctions and reconstruction funds. Once again, the assumptions of an administration led by tycoons that everyone can be swayed by monetary gain \u2014 already undermined in Ukraine \u2014 look increasingly threadbare.\n <\/p>\n

\n At the same time, however, Iran\u2019s approach comes with serious risks. The potential overplaying of its hand could bolster regional support for any hardened US approach. It may also hint at divisions inside the regime, as newly elevated, nationalistic Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps officials seek to discredit more moderate colleagues who want to negotiate.\n <\/p>\n

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\"President<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nPresident Donald Trump speaks as he switches planes at RAF Mildenhall in England, on his way back to Washington, DC, from the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, on Wednesday.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Alex Brandon\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n The limited US options offer a potential explanation for why Trump, fresh from ordering Wednesday\u2019s strikes, was soon back to making threats.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cIf it happens again, it will get much worse,\u201d he wrote on social media. But Iran didn\u2019t cave to such warnings during the far more sustained and aggressive US and Israeli bombing earlier in the war.\n <\/p>\n

\n On Air Force One on the way home from Turkey, Trump turned to another well-worn page of his playbook.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThey called a little while ago; they want to make a deal so badly,\u201d he said, returning to a refrain he\u2019s repeated for months, but that never seems to come true.\n <\/p>\n

\n Sometimes, the president seems to be waging war not only on Iran but also on reality.\n <\/p>

Read more Platner leave Democrats with egg on their faces<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

President Donald Trump\u2019s Iran entanglement is beginning to resemble a visual illusion known as the Penrose stairs, which endlessly climb and descend but always end up in the same place.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5267,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat options does Trump have now in Iran? 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