{"id":500,"date":"2026-05-26T05:05:57","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T05:05:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=500"},"modified":"2026-05-26T05:05:57","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T05:05:57","slug":"a-year-into-trumps-second-term-iowa-voters-offer-clues-for-the-midterm-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=500","title":{"rendered":"A year into Trump\u2019s second term, Iowa voters offer clues for the midterm elections"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n\nKellerton, Iowa<\/span>\u00a0\u2014\u00a0<\/span>\n<\/cite><\/div>\n

\n Shanen Ebersole is smiling, keeping an eye on her cows as they graze. Calving season is soon, so election season will have to wait.\n <\/p>

Read more \u2018Heated Rivalry\u2019 actor Harrison Browne on his life as a trans athlete<\/a><\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe\u2019ll walk them the mile and a half home in a month or so,\u201d Ebersole tells a visitor. \u201cThen they will calve in a pasture just like this. So, these are all our old mama girls.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n As we walk, the cows give an occasional gaze but mostly go about their business \u2014 calmly, with occasional bursts of playfulness.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI wish Washington could get along like cows,\u201d Ebersole said. \u201cThey need to find a way to get along for us, because that\u2019s what we the taxpayers pay them to do.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Ebersole was a Nikki Haley supporter when we first met early in the 2024 election cycle. She voted for Donald Trump in the end, believing his policies were better for her family farm. Now, though, there are signs of Trump exhaustion as she begins to think about 2026 races.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe have choices,\u201d Ebersole said. \u201cWe can say calm down. We can say talk nice.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump has been back in the White House for a year now, and his standing \u2014 more than anything else \u2014 will define the mood and the direction of the midterm campaign. Ebersole scores his performance at a 3 out of 5. The economy feels a little better to her, and illegal border crossings are down.\n <\/p>\n

\n But she recoiled at Trump\u2019s plan to increase low-tariff beef imports from Argentina, finding it to be anything but \u201cAmerica First.\u201d Now, the president\u2019s talk of somehow taking control of Greenland feels like another detour from his campaign agenda.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI don\u2019t agree with that in any way, shape or form,\u201d Ebersole said. \u201cWe need to take care of the 50 states that we have.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n The Ebersole Cattle Farm is in Kellerton, a rural Iowa town close to the Missouri border. Ringgold County is ruby-red when you look at election results here the past few decades; it\u2019s a place Republicans count on especially in big years like this. Iowa will pick a new governor in 2026, plus a new US senator.\n <\/p>\n

\n And Kellerton sits in Iowa\u2019s 3rd Congressional District, a Democratic target as the party tries to capture the House majority in this year\u2019s midterm elections.\n <\/p>\n

\n Ebersole has a dim view of Washington. She favors term limits and says that in her view, members of Congress are obsessed with fundraising and power and forget family farmers like her; forget trying to find compromise on issues such as health care.\n <\/p>\n

\n She includes her own representative, two-term GOP Rep. Zach Nunn, in that critique.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe want change,\u201d she said. \u201cWe need more freshness.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Ebersole, of course, is just one voter. But her sentiment is potentially instructive. Democrats would have to flip just a few seats to take the House majority, but they would need gains in red states such as Iowa to build a bit of a cushion. To get there would likely require winning over a fair amount of reluctant Trump 2024 voters who see divided government as a way to check the Trump traits they don\u2019t like.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI think you have to vote for the person who best meets your goals,\u201d Ebersole said. \u201cEvery time we are met with a new election cycle, I am open-minded.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Recent history here favors the GOP.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump carried Iowa in all three of his White House runs, with a bigger share of the vote each time. The last Democratic governor finished his term in January 2011. The last Democratic US senator left office in January 2015. All four House seats are now held by Republicans, but at least two are potentially competitive.\n <\/p>\n

\n The 2024 GOP margin in the 3rd Congressional Districts was just shy of 16,000 votes; in the 1st Congressional District, the Republican incumbent won by just 799 votes.\n <\/p>\n

\n A Trump convert says, \u2018I got what I voted for\u2019\n<\/h2>\n
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\"Betsy<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nBetsy Sarcone says she’s happy with President Trump’s first year in office and will be voting Republican in the midterm elections.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
CNN<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Betsy Sarcone lives 70 miles north of the Ebersole farm, in the fast-growing Des Moines suburbs. This is our sixth visit, dating to August 2023 when we began our \u201cAll Over the Map\u201d project to track campaigns and big policy debates through the eyes and experiences of everyday voters.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI\u2019m happy\u201d is Sarcone\u2019s take on Trump\u2019s first year back in power. \u201cI got what I voted for. And I think Trump has proved himself. There\u2019s that saying, \u2018Trump is always right. Trump was right about everything.\u2019 That\u2019s kind of how I am feeling right now.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n That is a dramatic change.\n <\/p>\n

\n Sarcone was an early Ron DeSantis supporter in 2024, then switched to Haley. Back then, she said she would vote for Joe Biden if Trump won the GOP nomination.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI just can\u2019t put my rubber stamp on Trump having more influence over this country,\u201d Sarcone told us in August 2023. \u201cI view Trump as not having any personal responsibility.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n What changed?\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI think Biden probably changed me more than Trump,\u201d Sarcone said. \u201cWatching nothing be done, for four years, about an open border.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Now, she gives Trump an A-minus for his first year. She says the economy is beginning to pick up, and she can look past some of the tone and character issues she raised about Trump when we first met.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe\u2019re at the point where I think 77 million of us don\u2019t care about the rhetoric anymore,\u201d Sarcone said. \u201cWe are about getting things done.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n A suburban revolt against Trump was a giant piece of the 2018 Democratic midterm gains. The Des Moines suburbs are a big part of the 3rd Congressional District, and Democrats are hoping for a repeat revolt this November.\n <\/p>\n

\n But Republicans don\u2019t have to worry about Sarcone. She has met Rep. Nunn and gives him high marks, and she is grateful to Iowa state Republicans for passing a school-choice program that helps her send her son and two daughters to private schools.\n <\/p>\n

\n One other big change: Back when we first met, Sarcone laughed off Trump\u2019s claims that the 2020 election was stolen from him.\n <\/p>\n

\n But during our latest visit, she said, \u201cI\u2019m starting to question the election of 2020.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n I interject: \u201cHe lost the election in 2020.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Sarcone: \u201cI don\u2019t know.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n \u2018Sometimes it gets ugly,\u2019 but securing the border is worth it\n<\/h2>\n
\n
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\"CNN\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nTrump voter Chris Mudd is happy with the president’s first year, but says he thinks Iowa will be competitive in 2026.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
CNN<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Waterloo is 140 miles from West Des Moines \u2014 first north, then east to make the journey. Chris Mudd is the CEO of Midwest Solar and a Trump guy from the beginning.\n <\/p>\n

\n On the drive out to show us a new big solar installation, Mudd, too, brings up 2020 and adds a new twist. Sarcone is new to the 2020 election Trump echo chamber; Mudd has been there from the outset.\n <\/p>

Read more Analysis: These two new economic numbers blew a hole in Trump\u2019s rosy narrative<\/a><\/p>\n

\n \u201cThis election fraud, I think that information is going to come out on that,\u201d Mudd offers on the drive from Midwest Solar\u2019s office in Waterloo to a Ford dealership in Shell Rock that is adding solar panels to its sprawling roof.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cMaybe Maduro is going to be able to offer some information about some of the things that happened in 2020. Like I told you long ago, I believe that election was stolen from him.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n To hear the 2020 conspiracy raised by two very different Trump voters was a reminder they spend their free time in the MAGA media echo chamber, where the idea that Venezuela was somehow involved with \u201crigging\u201d the 2020 election has gained some traction.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump has been talking more about 2020 of late, and members of the QAnon conspiracy movement added Nicol\u00e1s Maduro to the mix after the Venezuelan leader was taken into custody during a US military operation.\n <\/p>\n

\n Mudd\u2019s support of Trump is unflinching, even though he always raises objections about certain decisions or rhetoric. Watching aggressive Immigration and Customs Enforcement tactics during deportation roundups, for example, makes him cringe. But he blames years of government turning a blind eye to immigration abuses, not Trump or ICE.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWhen you make the sausage, sometimes it gets ugly,\u201d Mudd said. \u201cWe have to secure the borders, and they are secure now.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Mudd\u2019s business took a hit when Trump canceled green-energy initiatives from the Biden administration. But high electricity prices are helping sell solar now.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cMy life is similar,\u201d is his take at the one-year mark. \u201cBut my optimism is greater because I believe the things that Trump is doing are good for the country.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Overall, his gut and his work across the state tell him Trump\u2019s \u201csupport maybe has waned a little bit\u201d in Iowa.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThere are some people who read the headlines and they have a hard time defending it,\u201d Mudd said. \u201cI don\u2019t. I believe negative things happen regardless of who is in power.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n He worries even his congressional district \u2014 the 2nd \u2014 could be competitive because the popular Republican incumbent is running for Senate. Mudd knows Trump voters who don\u2019t care as much about voting when Trump is not on the ballot. He is not one of them.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe need to win November,\u201d he said. \u201cBecause I think they are going to try to impeach him. It\u2019s going to cause havoc for the country.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Asked whether he would consider supporting a Democrat for governor or some other state office, Mudd initially sounded open to it.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI am a Republican but not a blanket Republican,\u201d he said. But his own words give him pause. \u201cActually, I am a blanket Republican. I probably will vote a full red ticket.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Want to sway voters? \u2018Go down a gravel road\u2019\n<\/h2>\n
\n
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\"Iowa<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
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\nIowa has a lot at stake in the 2026 midterm elections. People here will cast their vote for governor, all four congressional seats and one Senate seat.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
CNN<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Names often tell you a lot about a town, and Columbus Junction fits that bill. It is in rural Louisa County, in southeast Iowa. The town sprouted where a north-south railway intersected with an east-west railway.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump carried Louisa County with 70% of the vote in 2024, math not lost on local Democrats. Yet spirits were high at a recent potluck dinner held by county Democrats to begin their midterm planning.\n <\/p>\n

\n The county is the 1st Congressional District, the most competitive of Iowa\u2019s four.\n <\/p>\n

\n For now, making sure Democratic candidates have enough signatures to get on the ballot is the priority. But the new county Democratic chairwoman, Michele Pegg, said voter registration drives and door-to-door canvassing are on the horizon.\n <\/p>\n

\n Here, that often means knocking on a door with a Trump flag or sticker. Pegg said she looks forward to it.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cNobody\u2019s evil,\u201d Pegg said. \u201cThe problem is we\u2019ve been swayed to believe the other side is. \u2026 These are little bitty towns. When you\u2019re talking populations of under 400, these are your neighbors, these are my neighbors. These are people that have good times and bad times, and we\u2019re all in it together.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Pegg promised to do her part organizing, and she believes there is opportunity because of some disappointment in Trump.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI really do think he\u2019s down a bit,\u201d Pegg said. \u201cI think people are frustrated with the sense that he ran on a lot of \u2018America First\u2019 stuff. \u2018Hey, we\u2019re going to take care of our people first\u2019 \u2014 but we still have problems with water. We still have problems with soil, we still have problems with schools, we still have problems with funding schools and education.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n But Pegg pulled no punches. She said the Democratic brand is damaged in rural areas and the party\u2019s candidates had better put in the work to repair it.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI think that unfortunately there\u2019s been a history of Democrats focusing on power places like Des Moines or Johnson County or some of the more university or non-rural areas,\u201d Pegg said. \u201cYou know, people don\u2019t even know where we\u2019re at.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Pegg knows the back roads here. She can\u2019t close the sale on her own. But she is happy to offer Democratic candidates directions and advice.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cYou want the office? You need to sway the voters,\u201d she said. \u201cGo down to a rural county. Go down a highway. Go down a gravel road. Go down a Class B road. Knock on a door.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\nThis story has been updated to clarify Trump\u2019s share of the vote in Iowa in the past three presidential elections.<\/em>\n<\/p>

Read more Asteroid mission captures rarely seen perspective of Mars during close flyby<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump has been back in the White House for a year now, and his standing \u2014 more than anything else \u2014 will define the mood and the direction of the midterm campaign. Ebersole scores his performance at a 3 out of 5. 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Ebersole scores his performance at a 3 out of 5. 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