{"id":3126,"date":"2026-06-19T10:05:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T10:05:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=3126"},"modified":"2026-06-19T10:05:10","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T10:05:10","slug":"why-republicans-think-they-can-save-their-house-majority-at-the-us-mexico-border","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=3126","title":{"rendered":"Why Republicans think they can save their House majority at the US-Mexico border"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div> <div>\n<button>\n<strong>\n<span><svg>\n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<span>Summary<\/span>\n<\/strong>\n<span><svg><\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<span><svg><\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<\/button>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Republicans face an uphill battle to retain their House majority this November. But they see hope in flipping three border districts and defending two more in competitive races.<\/li>\n<li>The GOP is betting on strong challengers and record-low border crossings despite Trump&#8217;s declining Latino support.<\/li>\n<li>Democrats believe they will defend their seats and are targeting up to three Republican-held seats in response.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<span>AI-generated summary was reviewed by a CNN editor.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            Republicans are in an uphill battle to save their narrow House majority, weighed down by an unpopular president and concerns about the cost of living amid the US war with Iran.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=3120\">As union leader, Democrat-backed Senate candidate Dan Osborn helped alert ICE to claims of undocumented workers<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            But they see glimmers of hope along the US-Mexico border.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The House Republicans\u2019 campaign arm is working to flip three border districts in November while defending at least two more. They believe they have recruited a strong lineup of challengers and can lean on illegal border crossings hitting record lows under President Donald Trump, even as his administration\u2019s deportation efforts have coincided with a sharp drop in Latino support.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            In a midterm cycle with fewer likely competitive districts due to redistricting, what happens in as many as six competitive border districts could help determine who controls the House for Trump\u2019s final two years in office. Texas Republicans redrew the state\u2019s congressional map in part to target two longtime border Democrats, banking on GOP gains with Latino voters since Trump\u2019s first run for office.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cHispanics make up one of our most important voting blocs, and I think majority-Hispanic districts are some of our best pickup opportunities because we have made strong inroads with that community,\u201d said Rep. Richard Hudson, the North Carolina Republican who chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee, in an interview with CNN.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Trump won 46% of Latino voters in 2024, according to CNNexit polling, up from 32% in 2020, a critical shift that helped him return to the White House. But Latinos nationally have soured on him since he returned to office. In an April survey from the Pew Research Center, Trump\u2019s approval rating among Latino voters who supported him was down 27 percentage points from the start of his second term.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Republicans believe they can buck national headwinds at the border due to the strength of their recruited candidates, Trump\u2019s inroads with Hispanic voters in the 2024 election, and voter concerns about returning to the border policies of former President Joe Biden\u2019s administration.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Republicans\u2019 ability to turn out Hispanic voters when Trump is not on the ballot is critical to the long-term health of the party. Hudson said it is a \u201cchallenge we\u2019ve got to overcome\u201d and that the NRCC\u2019s \u201centire apparatus this time is built to solve that problem.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cThe GOP thinks that they can erase the damage they\u2019ve caused just by propping up candidates with a Hispanic last name. They are dead wrong,\u201d Bridget Gonzalez, a spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, responded in a statement, adding, \u201cLatino voters are energized and showing up, and they will be the ones who deliver the House for Democrats.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            One of the Democratic incumbents the NRCC is targeting, Rep. Henry Cuellar of Texas, acknowledged in an interview that border districts can be unique from the national political environment. Cuellar was an early and sharp critic of Biden\u2019s handling of the border as unauthorized crossings hit record highs.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But Cuellar argued Republicans continue to operate off the \u201cfalse premise\u201d that Trump\u2019s past success with Hispanic voters translates to midterm victories, especially given widespread pessimism about high costs.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cThey have not gone down, and now you have another issue with immigration,\u201d Cuellar said. \u201cIt\u2019s not open borders, but it\u2019s the overreach of ICE. And I told some of my Republican friends, \u2018If Trump would\u2019ve just said \u2026 I closed the border. I\u2019m deporting the worst of the worst,\u2019 and stop there, I think people in South Texas would\u2019ve said, \u2018Yeah, that\u2019s the way.\u2019 But he didn\u2019t stop there.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Cuellar will face Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina, the chief administrative official of the county that includes Laredo, the congressman\u2019s longtime political base. Tijerina switched parties in late 2024, citing \u201cthe radicalization of the national Democrats.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            In a reflection of the leeway House Republicans are giving candidates on the economy, Tijerina praised Trump for launching strikes against Iran but acknowledged the war was \u201cunpopular\u201d and expressed confidence in the president\u2019s ability to wrap it up soon.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cSometimes we got to take a step back to take two steps forward,\u201d Tijerina said, \u201cand I think that\u2019s what he\u2019s trying to do, and I think that\u2019s what people are seeing, and they understand that.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<h3>\n    Border districts that REPUBLICANS SEE AS PICKUP OPPORTUNITIES\n  <\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>New Mexico\u2019s 2nd Congressional District: Greg Cunningham is challenging Rep. Gabe Vasquez<\/li>\n<li>Texas\u2019 28th Congressional District: Tano Tijerina is challenging Rep. Henry Cuellar<\/li>\n<li>Texas\u2019 34th Congressional District: Eric Flores is challenging Rep. Vicente Gonzalez<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<div>\n<h3>\n    BORDER DISTRICTS THAT DEMOCRATS SEE AS PICKUP OPPORTUNITIES\n  <\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas\u2019 15th Congressional District: Bobby Pulido is challenging Rep. Monica De La Cruz<\/li>\n<li>Arizona\u2019s 6th Congressional District: JoAnna Mendoza is challenging Rep. Juan Ciscomani<\/li>\n<li>Texas\u2019 23rd Congressional District: Democrat Katy Padilla Stout and Republican Brandon Herrera will face off for Rep. Tony Gonzales\u2019 seat<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<h2>\n        How Republicans are approaching the border\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            Republicans are betting on candidates such as Eric Flores, a former federal prosecutor running against Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in Texas\u2019 34th Congressional District.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Hudson credited Trump with backing Flores early in his primary and helping him sail past former Rep. Mayra Flores, who is not related. National Republicans soured on Mayra Flores after she ran againstGonzalez in 2022 and 2024 and lost both times.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Eric Flores visits with supporters during a campaign stop in Corpus Christi, Texas, in February.\" class=\"wp-image-3124\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/cee7f424e9d09d6d46923094e036efdc.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/cee7f424e9d09d6d46923094e036efdc.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/cee7f424e9d09d6d46923094e036efdc-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>Eric Flores visits with supporters during a campaign stop in Corpus Christi, Texas, in February.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Eric Gay\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            The NRCC doubled down on its commitment to the district earlier this month when it opened an office in Harlingen.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cThis election is simple,\u201d Eric Flores said at the office opening. \u201cI proudly wear the Republican jersey, and he proudly claims to be \u2018the right kind of Democrat\u2019 \u2014 voting for the left woke agenda.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Republicans are hoping to dent Gonzalez\u2019s moderate profile with messaging about the border under Biden. One anti-Gonzalez ad cites a 2021 interview on CNN in which he was asked about then-Vice President Kamala Harris\u2019 meetings in Central America to study the \u201croot causes of migration\u201d \u2014 work that caused critics to label her Biden\u2019s \u201cborder czar.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cI feel fully confident that the vice president is on the right track,\u201d Gonzalez said then.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=3114\">Analysis: What the missing center has meant for the Supreme Court<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            Gonzalez has responded by taunting Flores as a \u201cTrump lapdog\u201d who will not stand up to the administration.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cMy district is struggling under the weight of disastrous Republican policies coming out of Washington, which are denying families health care and driving up prices on everyday necessities like gas, food and housing,\u201d Gonzalez said in a statement. \u201cEric Flores blindly rubber-stamps this Administration\u2019s policies like a paid-for lapdog, all in exchange for a financed campaign to the detriment of South Texans\u2019 quality of life.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<h2>\n        Democrats want to talk about Trump\u2019s economy\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            Rep. Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico, who represents a district stretching from Albuquerque south to the border, won his last reelection by 4 points even as Trump carried his district by 2. At a recent event in Washington, Vasquez said the economy is the \u201cunifying link\u201d for voters who split their tickets.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cA lot of folks that thought President Trump was going to be this great businessman, that was going to improve the economy, that was going to change the status quo \u2026 are also those folks whose doors I knocked on,\u201d Vasquez said at WelcomeFest, an annual gathering for centrist Democrats.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"US Rep. Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico on April 8 in front of Las Cruces Boys and Girls Club.\" class=\"wp-image-3125\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ef951c43f66a3c1dd764b03192039f67.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ef951c43f66a3c1dd764b03192039f67.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ef951c43f66a3c1dd764b03192039f67-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>US Rep. Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico speaks in front of Las Cruces Boys and Girls Club on April 8.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Jessica Onsurez\/Las Cruces Sun-News\/USA Today Network\/Imagn Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            Greg Cunningham, a former undercover cop who investigated crime along the border, is the GOP nominee against Vasquez. Cunningham said it was important for Republicans to level with voters about the state of the economy, but like Tijerina, he backed Trump\u2019s war as worthwhile for national security.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cI actually applaud the president for doing the right thing instead of the politically expedient thing,\u201d Cunningham said,adding that he believes the war will end soon and that oil prices will come down.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Hudson, the chair of the House GOP campaign arm, said Republicans should \u201cacknowledge that folks are struggling out there\u201d but also remind voters what the economy was like under Biden.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Hudson said candidates can say that \u201cThis election is a choice: Do you want to go back to the way it was three years ago, or do you want to let us continue to work to make your lives better?\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is officially targeting two districts along the border \u2014 the seats held by Reps. Monica De La Cruz and Juan Ciscomani. But some Democrats also want to flip Texas\u2019 23rd Congressional District, which opened after Rep. Tony Gonzales announced he would not seek reelection after admitting he had an affair with a staffer who later died by suicide. \n<\/p>\n<p>\n            Republicans have nominated Brandon Herrera, a conservative activist and firearm reviewer on YouTube. The Democrats advanced attorney Katy Padilla Stout.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            A top national Democratic recruit in Texas\u2019 15th District is Bobby Pulido, a Tejano music star running against De La Cruz.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Pulido speaks openly about being more culturally conservative than most Democrats. He talks about owning 11 AR-15s \u2014 his oldest son is named Remington after the Remington 700 bolt-action gun \u2014 and has chastised his party for prioritizing \u201csocial justice\u201d issues over a more \u201caspirational\u201d economic message.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Pulido said at WelcomeFest that South Texans \u201chave become disillusioned with parties\u201d and that he often hears from people that \u201c\u2018I just want you to fight for me and for us. I don\u2019t want your loyalty to be with your party. And will you break with your party if it means defending us?\u2019\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Pulido has had to answer questions about his relationship with Frankie Caballero, a former bandmate previously convicted of a child sex crime. Pulido\u2019s campaign has said he was not aware of Caballero\u2019s status as a sex offender and that his managers fired Caballero when they learned in 2021.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Leading Democrats have continued to tout Pulido\u2019s story. Rep. Suzan DelBene, the chairwoman of the DCCC, told CNN on Friday that Pulido was part of a crop of candidates who are \u201cauthentic, independent voices for their communities.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Amid Pulido\u2019s challenge, De La Cruz has sought some daylight with the Trump administration on immigration enforcement, floating new protections for migrant workers who have been targeted by deportation raids. And in March, she helped secure the release of Antonio G\u00e1mez-Cu\u00e9llar, a high school mariachi student who was detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement along with his family after a regular check-in with immigration officials.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            De La Cruz said in a statement that South Texans want immigration enforcement that goes after criminals, \u201cnot families working through the system the right way.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cI\u2019ve been very direct with leadership about that,\u201d she said, \u201cand I\u2019m going to keep fighting for folks who follow the law and contribute to our community.\u201d\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=3100\">Trump\u2019s new acting intel chief Bill Pulte arrives early, eyes firing hundreds<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Republicans are in an uphill battle to save their narrow House majority, weighed down by an unpopular president and concerns about the cost of living amid the US war with Iran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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