{"id":2700,"date":"2026-06-14T11:04:50","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T11:04:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700"},"modified":"2026-06-14T11:04:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T11:04:50","slug":"who-stays-home-may-threaten-republicans-this-year-as-much-as-who-votes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700","title":{"rendered":"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n

\n Subtraction, not addition, is emerging as the central threat to Republicans in the 2026 election.\n <\/p>

Read more He profits off raw milk that\u2019s making people sick. The government isn\u2019t stopping him.<\/a><\/p>\n

\n The subtractionrisk for Republicans is the prospect that President Donald Trump\u2019s slipping approval rating among his 2024 voters will cause meaningful components of the coalition that elected him to sit out November\u2019s midterms.\n <\/p>\n

\n Polls suggest that\u2019s a greater danger for the GOP than the possibility that Democrats will add a big cache of new votes \u2014 either by turning out many people who did not participate in 2024, or by convincing a significant share of 2024 Trump supporters to vote blue.\n <\/p>\n

\n In that way, the emerging 2026 landscape looks very different from the \u201cblue wave\u201d election of 2018 \u2014 when Democrats were <\/em>boosted by a historic outpouring of new voters opposed to Trump and substantial defections from his 2016 voters. At a moment when Americans are so negative on the country\u2019s direction, and the image of both parties is so tarnished, few strategists on either side are expecting nearly as many new voters in November \u2014 nor do many expect overall turnout to approach its 50% level from 2018, the highest for a midterm election since 1912.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWhen both parties are viewed negatively, you are probably going not to see a lot of new voters,\u201d said Texas-based GOP strategist Matt Mackowiak, with a view widely shared on both sides.<\/strong>\n<\/p>\n

\n Instead, this year\u2019s result could turn on which side suffers greater falloff among the voters who backed it in 2024. And all signs so far indicate that Republicans now face the greater risk from that sort of subtraction.\n <\/p>\n

\n For the GOP, this year\u2019s biggest challenge will be would-be voters who say, \u201cI\u2019m frustrated, I\u2019m disappointed, I\u2019m pissed off and I\u2019m not going to bother,\u201d said Democratic pollster Paul Maslin. \u201cAnd the I\u2019m-not-going- to-bother voters will be disproportionately (Trump\u2019s) voters, and not ours.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\nThe major shifts are in turnout \u2014 not in party loyalty<\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n
\n
\n\n
\n
\"Voting<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\nVoting takes place in the Civic Center during the Maine Primary, Tuesday, June 9, in Augusta, Maine.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Robert F. Bukaty\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n In today\u2019s highly polarized political era, relatively few voters switch their preferences from one party to the other. The Pew Research Center, for instance, that among voters who turned out in both 2020 and 2022, only 6% voted for a presidential candidate from one party in the former election and a House candidate from the other in the latter.\n <\/p>\n

\n In modern politics, as I\u2019ve written, the bigger impact on election outcomes usually comes from voters who cycle in and out of the electorate. Recent midterm elections have demonstrated how both the addition and subtraction elements of turnout can shape the results.\n <\/p>\n

\n The midterms under President Barack Obama in 2010 and 2014 were defined mostly by subtraction. Catalist, a Democratic voter data and targeting firm whose work is respected in both parties, calculated from its analysis of individual voter records that about two-fifths of voters who turned out during Obama\u2019s presidential victories in 2008 and 2012 did not return to vote in each of the subsequent midterms. Each time, a preponderant majority of those staying home were Obama voters \u2014 people the former president mobilized in big numbers for his own campaigns, but Democrats could not reactivate when he was not on the ballot.\n <\/p>\n

\n The GOP compounded its advantage in those two elections with a small edge among new voters who turned out for the midterm after not voting in the previous presidential race. But those new voters constituted a relatively small share of the electorate (9%) each time.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n\n
\n
\"Gloria<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\nGloria Thomas wears a t-shirt stating “VOTE BLUE NO MATTER WHO!” in advance of a campaign rally on September 21, 2018, in Philadelphia.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Mark Makela\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n The Democratic \u201cblue wave\u201d election of 2018, during Trump\u2019s first presidency, when the party won over 40 House seats and recaptured the chamber, offered the clearest recent example of the addition model. Catalist calculated that only 27% of 2016 voters stayed home in 2018 \u2014 a far smaller decline from the presidential turnout under Obama \u2014 and that the drop-off was more closely balanced between the parties as well. But the most distinctive characteristic of 2018 was an unusually large surge of new voters motivated by opposition to Trump: Catalist calculated that 13% of ballots in 2018 were cast by new voters, and that they preferred Democratic House candidates by a crushing 21-point margin. Returning voters also added to the Democratic column: Catalist estimated that people who voted in both 2016 and 2018 shifted toward them by nearly 5 points.\n <\/p>\n

\n Lifted by the unusual surge of new participants, 2018\u2019s voter turnout hit 50% \u2014 way beyond the roughly 40% turnout for the two midterms of Obama\u2019s presidency, according to a University of Florida Election Lab Analysis. Relative to 2014, turnout in 2018 increased for all age groups, but especially among young people \u2014 ages 18-29 \u2014 whose 2018 turnout fully doubled from four years earlier..\n <\/p>\n

\n The 2022 election under President Joe Biden presented something of a middle path between the subtraction and addition models. Overall turnout slipped back to around 46%, with fewer new voters apparently entering the electorate and . The muddled turnout story contributed to the election\u2019s overall mixed result, with the two parties basically fighting to a draw.\n <\/p>\n

\nWhat can past elections tell us about 2026?<\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n

\n The dynamics threatening Republicans in 2026 look more like the patterns under the Obama midterms than those from 2018.\n <\/p>\n

\n Democrats are highly unlikely to match the massive gains Republicans made in the Obama midterm elections \u2014 largely because the GOP is defending far fewer inherently vulnerable House or Senate seats now than Democrats were then. But as in the Obama era, Republicans this year likely have more to fear from subtraction than addition.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n\n
\n
\"CLEMMONS,<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\nA voter walks past people handing out election literature on November 8, 2022, in Clemmons, North Carolina.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Sean Rayford\/Getty Images\/File<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n In 2024, the entry of new voters \u2014 the addition side of the ledger \u2014 clearly benefited Trump. Catalist\u2019s analysis found that Trump ran best among irregular voters who had voted least often over the previous four elections.\n <\/p>\n

\n Now, though, polls consistently show that amid pervasive economic discontent, Trump\u2019s standing has cratered among potential 2026 voters who did not vote in 2024 \u2014 either because they stayed home then or only turned 18 since. The most recent New York Times\/Siena College national survey of registered voters, for instance, showed that just 21% of 2024 nonvoters approved of Trump\u2019s performance as president, with 71% disapproving. His ratings among them for handling the economy, inflation and the Iran war were even worse. Less than 20% of Hispanic and Black adults who did not vote in 2024 now approve of Trump, with the share falling to less than 40% even among working-class Whites, Pew found in a poll this spring, according to results provided to CNN. In each case that was well below Trump\u2019s approval with those groups of non-voters when his second term began, Pew found.\n <\/p>

Read more On the brink: Black lawmakers could lose decades of gains in one year<\/a><\/p>\n

\n With attitudes toward Trump curdling among the 2024 nonvoters, the NYT\/Siena survey not surprisingly found them preferring Democrats by a resounding 31-point margin in the House elections. But even as they favored Democrats on that measure, nearly three-fifths of the 2024 nonvoters also expressed negative views about the party . And only about one-fifth of those 2024 nonvoters described themselves as almost certain to vote this year.\n <\/p>\n

\n To many strategists and observers alike, these attitudes point toward two conclusions: Most new voters in 2026 will probably back Democrats, and there likely will be far fewer of those new voters than in 2018. John Della Volpe, director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School\u2019s Institute of Politics, said most evidence suggests that young first-time voters are especially unlikely to match their 2018 surge.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI\u2019m always hopeful for young people to turn out,\u201d said Della Volpe, who supervises the IOP\u2019s poll of young Americans, \u201cbut the signals are mixed and muddied.\u201d In particular, he notes, very few young people express confidence that their vote can improve conditions. \u201cClearly there is an antipathy toward most of the policies and actions around Trump\u2026 (but) the couple years before that weren\u2019t much rosier and haven\u2019t left younger people with a lot of confidence in the opposing party,\u201d says Della Volpe, who also advises Democrats on young voters.\n <\/p>\n

\n Adam Bonica, a Stanford University political scientist who studies voter participation, also says the signs do not foreshadow a big addition of new voters this year. \u201cIf you compare what we just saw in Hungary \u2014 this massive anti-corruption, anti-system surge, where youth turnout nearly doubled \u2014 I don\u2019t see that environment sharping up in the US right now,\u201d Bonica said. \u201cIf Democrats had played their cards differently that would have been an option, but I have seen plenty of evidence to the contrary that they are not activating that type of surge.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Democrats might also see some benefit from the other potential way to add new voters \u2014Trump 2024 supporters who switch to vote for them. But in this highly polarized era, not many may cross that divide: In the New York Times\/Siena poll, just 4% of Trump voters said they were satisfied with the Democratic Party. Many Democrats expect most disappointed Trump voters to express their discontent not by crossing the aisle, but by staying home \u2014 just as most disappointed Biden voters did in 2024. \u201cWe have to get some (switching), but of the two dynamics, I think that turnout falloff (among Republicans) will be a more powerful factor than vote conversion,\u201d said Maslin, the Democratic pollster.\n <\/p>\n

\n\u2018The most important question\u2019 for the midterms<\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n
\n
\n\n
\n
\"Signs<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\nSigns showing support for Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential candidate President Donald Trump on September 26, 2024, near Traverse City, Michigan.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Scott Olson\/Getty Images\/File<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n As Maslin suggested, the most important turnout question for 2026 may be which side better limits the subtraction of voters from its 2024 coalition. And on that front, most evidence signals that Republicans face more worries than Democrats. \u201cWe haven\u2019t done a full analysis, but you see it everywhere you look at it: Democratic turnout seems to be higher,\u201d said Yair Ghitza, the chief scientist for Catalist. \u201cIt\u2019s all pointing in the same direction.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n One of those directional measures is the consistent improvement in the Democratic vote share in special elections since Trump returned to office.\n <\/p>\n

\n Participation in primaries is another indicator: In competitive statewide primaries this year in Texas, Georgia and North Carolina, significantly more people voted in the Democratic than Republican primaries, a reversal of the pattern in 2022 and 2018.\n <\/p>\n

\n Polling offers a third yardstick. On the most direct question, some surveys have found a notably higher share of Harris than Trump supporters from 2024 saying they are certain to vote in 2026. The gap could be especially pronounced among young people: This spring\u2019s IOP survey found that only half of Trump\u2019s young 2024 supporters said they definitely intend to vote in 2026, compared with 70% of former Vice President Kamala Harris\u2019 backers. \u201cI think there is going to be a clear drop-off in turnout of younger Republicans relative to Democrats,\u201d Della Volpe said.\n <\/p>\n

\n These direct measures of voter intention usually overstate how many people actually vote. More telling may be the turnout signals in attitudes about the president. Another warning light for Republicans is that the share of voters who \u201cstrongly\u201d disapprove of Trump\u2019s performance is now often double the share of those who \u201cstrongly\u201d approve. Those intense feelings are frequently a good turnout predictor.\n <\/p>\n

\n The fissures in Trump\u2019s support among his 2024 voters are another augur. Throughout Trump\u2019s second term, Pew has measured views of Trump\u2019s performance from people included in its respected Validated Voters study of the 2024 result.\n <\/p>\n

\n Last February, in its first Trump second-term poll, Pew found that well over 90% of his 2024 voters in all major demographic groups approved of his performance as president, according to figures provided to CNN. But this April, Pew found that Trump\u2019s approval rating among all his 2024 voters had fallen below 80%, while tumbling to 66% among Hispanics who backed him then. By contrast, Harris voters were unified in opposition, with 98%<\/em> of them disapproving of Trump\u2019s performance.\n <\/p>\n

\n Melissa Morales, founder and president of Somos Votantes and Somos PAC, groups that mobilize Latino voters, said disappointment in Trump\u2019s economic record and agenda creates \u201ca massive risk\u201d for Republicans that \u201cthese Latinos who voted for Trump for the first time\u201d in 2024 will \u201cnot show up at all.\u201d She\u2019s also more optimistic than many other strategists that if Democrats can sharpen their economic messaging, they can motivate previously non-voting Latino young people \u201cwho are trying to figure out how to make ends meet\u201d and \u201care looking for solutions.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Considering all these factors, Mackowiak, the GOP strategist, said \u201cin some ways the most important question facing the midterms\u201d is whether Republicans can blunt the emerging Democratic turnout advantage. \u201cIf their base is enthusiastic and ours is not, it has a chance to be a real blowout,\u201d he said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Mackowiak sees several ways Republicans might mitigate the developing Democratic edge. A Supreme Court vacancy this fall, he said, could energize Republicans \u2014 as the bitter nomination fight over Justice Brett Kavanaugh did just before the 2018 election. And he noted that since 2024, Democrats \u201chave really done almost nothing to correct their party image problem.\u201d That could both limit their inroads with independent voters and help Republicans motivate their base voters by portraying Democrats as extreme, he said.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n\n
\n
\"A<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
\n
\nA person votes via the drive-thru drop box at the San Diego County Registrar of Voters office during California’s primary election.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n
Michael Ho Wai Lee\/SOPA Images\/Sipa USA\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Critics point to another factor that could disrupt the potential Democratic turnout edge: moves by the Trump administration to suppress the vote, such as trying to limit mail voting in blue states or dispatching immigration agents to inner-city polling places. \u201cYou can see the countervailing strategy that\u2019s developing\u201d from Trump and his GOP allies of \u201cbasically dismantling institutions that support free and fair elections,\u201d Bonica said.If courts don\u2019t block such possibilities, that could significantly scramble the turnout equation.\n <\/p>\n

\n But if the election unfolds mostly under traditional rules, the biggest turnout threat to Republicans will be the contrast between a Democratic base unified in passionate opposition to Trump \u2014 and the clear cracks opening in his 2024 coalition.\n <\/p>

Read more Trump\u2019s UFC 80th birthday bash looks to rescue his tarnished macho image<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Subtraction, not addition, is emerging as the central threat to Republicans in the 2026 election.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2691,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nWho stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes - Relocation Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes - Relocation Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Subtraction, not addition, is emerging as the central threat to Republicans in the 2026 election.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Relocation Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-14T11:04:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/0ae921389f0b140e1a72e11a621894c0.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"768\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"512\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"12 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be\"},\"headline\":\"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-14T11:04:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700\"},\"wordCount\":2399,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Politics\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700\",\"name\":\"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes - Relocation Times\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-14T11:04:50+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg\",\"width\":800,\"height\":450},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?p=2700#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"Relocation Times\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be\",\"name\":\"admin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/50b1ad2e498f523425ee0a8cc5180a210646db1622662a3d56cc405d3e0c346a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/50b1ad2e498f523425ee0a8cc5180a210646db1622662a3d56cc405d3e0c346a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/50b1ad2e498f523425ee0a8cc5180a210646db1622662a3d56cc405d3e0c346a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"admin\"},\"sameAs\":[\"http:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/relocationtimess.com\\\/?author=1\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes - Relocation Times","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes - Relocation Times","og_description":"Subtraction, not addition, is emerging as the central threat to Republicans in the 2026 election.","og_url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700","og_site_name":"Relocation Times","article_published_time":"2026-06-14T11:04:50+00:00","og_image":[{"width":768,"height":512,"url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/0ae921389f0b140e1a72e11a621894c0.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"12 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/#\/schema\/person\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be"},"headline":"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes","datePublished":"2026-06-14T11:04:50+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700"},"wordCount":2399,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg","articleSection":["Politics"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700","url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700","name":"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes - Relocation Times","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg","datePublished":"2026-06-14T11:04:50+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/#\/schema\/person\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/090bddc4f6b5a52c20945f245e06c1c0.jpg","width":800,"height":450},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2700#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Who stays home may threaten Republicans this year as much as who votes"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/","name":"Relocation Times","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/#\/schema\/person\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be","name":"admin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/50b1ad2e498f523425ee0a8cc5180a210646db1622662a3d56cc405d3e0c346a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/50b1ad2e498f523425ee0a8cc5180a210646db1622662a3d56cc405d3e0c346a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/50b1ad2e498f523425ee0a8cc5180a210646db1622662a3d56cc405d3e0c346a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"admin"},"sameAs":["http:\/\/relocationtimess.com"],"url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?author=1"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2700\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2691"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}