{"id":2509,"date":"2026-06-12T04:34:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T04:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2509"},"modified":"2026-06-12T04:34:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T04:34:32","slug":"how-to-judge-trumps-claims-hes-ended-the-iran-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2509","title":{"rendered":"How to judge Trump\u2019s claims he\u2019s ended the Iran war"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div> <div>\n<button>\n<strong>\n<span><svg>\n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<span>Summary<\/span>\n<\/strong>\n<span><svg><\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<span><svg><\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<\/button>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>President Donald Trump said Thursday he had reached a breakthrough deal to end the Iran war after threatening invasion.<\/li>\n<li>A verifiable agreement would be a historic breakthrough, but Trump has proclaimed deals imminent nearly 40 times during the war.<\/li>\n<li>The White House has not released detailed text, and Iran&#8217;s foreign ministry said reports of a deal are speculation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<span>AI-generated summary was reviewed by a CNN editor.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            The world whiplashed Thursday between an apparently imminent, dangerous escalation of the war in Iran and a claim of peace in our time.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2499\">Supreme Court blocks Alabama from executing inmate with method lower court found cruel and unusual<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            At least, that\u2019s according to President Donald Trump.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            In the morning, the commander-in-chief was threatening to invade Iran\u2019s Kharg Island oil exporting hub \u2014 an operation that would risk many American lives.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But hours later he proclaimed he\u2019d clinched a \u201cgreat\u201d deal to end the war that will mean the Islamic Republic never gets a nuclear weapon.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Trump argued that his threats \u2014 and latest air strikes on Iran \u2014 had effectively bombed it into a negotiating climbdown.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cI don\u2019t know if you heard, but we ended the war with Iran today,\u201d Trump told a tele-rally for the Georgia governor\u2019s race.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The truth, however, may be a little more complex.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            A verifiable agreement to end Iran\u2019s nuclear ambitions that secured Iranian compliance <em>would <\/em>count as a historic breakthrough. It would end a war that has rocked the Middle East and sparked an energy crisis that sent the global economy reeling and pushed up gasoline prices and inflation in the United States.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            It would grant Trump a way out of a war that was supposed to last weeks when he started it in February, but that has dragged on into summertime and pummeled his domestic political standing.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Most importantly, such a deal could save the lives of American service personnel, Iranian and Israeli civilians, and others caught in the regional crossfire.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But to put it mildly, Trump has hardly been a reliable narrator of the war. He\u2019s proclaimed an agreement was imminent nearly 40 times. He\u2019s repeatedly claimed Iran has caved to his demands even as the Islamic Republic\u2019s defiance has demonstrated the opposite.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            So the world will await further details of the deal with due skepticism \u2014 even as Trump predicts a deal-signing ceremony could take place in Europe soon.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cAt this point, there is no reliable evidence that we have a deal and if there is a deal it is still not clear if that deal will stick,\u201d Seth Jones, president of the Defense and Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told CNN\u2019s Erin Burnett.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            In the absence of such evidence, many will conclude that the president, a master of branding, is overselling the agreement.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A drone view shows vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3.\" class=\"wp-image-2505\" height=\"432\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/646d88fd92fc9406d3fd35eb55f9acf8-768x432.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/646d88fd92fc9406d3fd35eb55f9acf8-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/646d88fd92fc9406d3fd35eb55f9acf8-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/646d88fd92fc9406d3fd35eb55f9acf8.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>A drone view shows vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Reuters<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>\n<strong>\u2018This isn\u2019t a final deal to end the war\u2019 <\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            The White House is yet to release detailed text of the proposed memorandum of understanding. But one likely scenario is that negotiators have an understanding with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the suspension of a US naval blockade. This would come with undertakings to push the most critical and difficult issue \u2014 the fate of its nuclear program \u2014 to future talks.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Frank Kendall, who served as secretary of the Air Force during the Biden administration, told CNN\u2019s Jake Tapper on Thursday that Trump\u2019s claims must be taken with \u201cgrain of salt.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Kendall added: \u201cIt\u2019s really important to realize that this isn\u2019t a final deal to end this war. This is an extension of the ceasefire, presumably for 60 days or so, while the negotiations continue on the nuclear program in Iran, which is the reason we went into this \u2014 ostensibly, anyway.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Some conservative Republicans are also skeptical, including Fox News commentator Mark Levin. \u201cIt\u2019s difficult to discuss an MOU that is not public \u2013 the precise terms of which we do not know, \u201c Levin wrote on X. \u201cIf it is done and will be signed in 48-72 hours, let\u2019s see it.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Even if a memorandum of understanding is confirmed and signed, it will raise a new set of questions.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            First, Trump will be judged against the exhaustively negotiated, intricately detailed and internationally endorsed pact to verifiably end Iran\u2019s nuclear program negotiated by President Barack Obama\u2019s team. Trump ripped up that deal in 2018, even though his first-term administration certified that Tehran was complying.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And ultimately, he must answer this question: Has his war, which killed 13 American service personnel, destroyed millions of dollars of US military hardware and pitched the global economy into crisis, left Americans safer or better off?\n    <\/p>\n<h2>\n<strong>Benchmarks for a possible deal<\/strong>\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            While the president is skilled at shaping  political narratives, the real-world circumstances of the war and and an implacable adversary mean the proposed deal\u2019s true character will soon come to light.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            When the full details are released, Trump will face a set of questions and benchmarks that will test whether it\u2019s genuine and likely to last.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"US President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, on Thursday.\" class=\"wp-image-2506\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/90bdce8b710001ee0104df110d9cc015-768x512.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/90bdce8b710001ee0104df110d9cc015-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/90bdce8b710001ee0104df110d9cc015-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/90bdce8b710001ee0104df110d9cc015.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>US President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, on Thursday.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Daniel Heuer\/Reuters<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h5>\n        Is this merely a deal to reopen the strait and end the blockade or does it get to the substance of the underlying nuclear question?\n<\/h5>\n<p>\n            Trump set off alarm bells when he referred to the proposed memorandum of understanding on Thursday in the Oval Office as \u201ca little conceptual.\u201d This framing implies the agreement may be superficial and far from finalized.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The scope of the deal is also important.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Opening the strait would come as an enormous relief to regional governments, oil producers and global consumers. Ending the US blockade might mitigate some of the grinding hardship enforced on Iran\u2019s civilians by their repressive rulers.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2497\">The president\u2019s Trump Accounts didn\u2019t initially plan for foster kids \u2014 until the first lady\u2019s office stepped in<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            But such a deal would represent only a turning-back of the clock to the start of the war.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And it would not negate an important Iranian strategic breakthrough \u2014 its demonstrated new capacity to close the strait and strangle the global economy at any moment.\n    <\/p>\n<h5>\n        How strong is the language on limiting Iran\u2019s nuclear ambitions?\n<\/h5>\n<p>\n            An agreement to talk about Iran\u2019s nuclear program would hardly be a \u201cgreat deal.\u201d History shows such talks would likely drag on for weeks or months with no guarantee of success.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            They\u2019d include intricate haggling over the verification of any Iranian commitments not to enrich uranium.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The issue of removing Tehran\u2019s stocks of highly enriched uranium that it produced after Trump trashed the Obama deal could scuttle the talks at any time. Iran has long said it won\u2019t produce a nuclear weapon. So merely obtaining its signature on a document to that effect would not mean much, however Trump might try to spin it.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The White House\u2019s lack of specificity is already stirring skepticism on Capitol Hill.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cI want to read it,\u201d said Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy, when asked by CNN\u2019s Kasie Hunt for his reaction to Trump\u2019s announcement of a deal. \u201cI trust the \u2026 political leadership in Iran like I trust the rest-stop bathroom.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Republican reaction to eventual details of the memorandum will be important. A GOP backlash to a previous language apparently prompted Trump to send it back to Iran with edits.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"People walk on a sidewalk in front of a mural in Tehran, Iran, on June 8.\" class=\"wp-image-2507\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b6a1d9333765deb65c6863a4baa03756-768x512.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b6a1d9333765deb65c6863a4baa03756-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b6a1d9333765deb65c6863a4baa03756-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b6a1d9333765deb65c6863a4baa03756.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>People walk on a sidewalk in front of a mural in Tehran, Iran, on June 8.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Vahid Salemi\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h5>\n        How much money or sanctions relief is Iran getting to move forward?\n<\/h5>\n<p>\n            Iran\u2019s economy was already in dire trouble before Trump laid down a blockade of its ships and ports. Years of sanctions had pulverized its economy. It has therefore demanded a substantial financial incentive to engage diplomatically. CNN reported in May that Tehran wants the immediate unfreezing of billions of dollars in overseas banks.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Any impression that Iran is buying off Trump would be politically disastrous for the president. After all, he\u2019s endlessly criticized the financial concessions extracted from Obama in return for freezing its nuclear program. It would also be a dealbreaker for GOP senators whose help the president would need to lift some sanctions in order to solidify a final deal.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cI also want to know how much money we\u2019re releasing to Iran,\u201d Kennedy said.\n    <\/p>\n<h5>\n        Will Israel be on board?\n<\/h5>\n<p>\n            Trump launched the war in partnership with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. But their interests have diverged in recent weeks. Trump forced Israel to limit its attacks on Iran-backed Hezbollah in Beirut that were threatening prospects for a deal.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The two leaders spoke again on Thursday, and an Israeli readout artfully did not criticize Trump but implied that the initial agreement would not satisfy Israel\u2019s most critical interests.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Netanyahu \u201cexpressed his appreciation\u201d to Trump for his commitment that a final agreement would remove Tehran\u2019s enriched uranium, dismantle its nuclear infrastructure, limit missile production and end support for regional proxies.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Israel\u2019s view that Hezbollah forces embedded in Lebanon and Iran\u2019s determination to revive the militia as a powerful arm of its regional power almost torpedoed US-Iran talks last week.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            It could still do so at any time in future.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, on Thursday.\" class=\"wp-image-2508\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/64187453c54eee8f38a77bd56ada85da-768x512.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/64187453c54eee8f38a77bd56ada85da-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/64187453c54eee8f38a77bd56ada85da-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/64187453c54eee8f38a77bd56ada85da.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, DC, on Thursday.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Daniel Heuer\/Reuters<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h5>\n        Does Iran share Trump\u2019s view of progress?\n<\/h5>\n<p>\n            Trump suggested Thursday that Iran\u2019s new supreme leader had signed off on the deal.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But there is little evidence to back up Trump\u2019s claims that he\u2019s negotiating with more \u201crational\u201d regime leaders following the deaths of multiple top officials in US and Israeli raids.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            So far, US attacks have tended to deepen the regime\u2019s resistance, despite Trump\u2019s claims on Thursday that his latest air strikes had forced it to offer concessions.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            There\u2019s no sign that has changed.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            In a first reaction to Trump\u2019s upbeat predictions that a deal is close, Iran\u2019s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei told Iran\u2019s state-run news agency IRNA that such reports were \u201cmerely speculation.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            He added: \u201cSo far, Iran has not reached a final decision regarding any agreement,\u201d he said.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            In the end, what will matter is not what Trump says the deal will entail, but whether Iran signs and complies with it.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Despite the president\u2019s bullishness on a wild Thursday, that moment still seems a long way away.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2495\">Kennedy Center board plans to appeal judge\u2019s ruling over removing Trump\u2019s name<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The world whiplashed Thursday between an apparently imminent, dangerous escalation of the war in Iran and a claim of peace in our time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2500,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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