{"id":2245,"date":"2026-06-09T20:37:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T20:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245"},"modified":"2026-06-09T20:37:10","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T20:37:10","slug":"why-the-gops-voter-fraud-theories-in-california-dont-make-sense","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245","title":{"rendered":"Why the GOP\u2019s voter fraud theories in California don\u2019t make sense"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div> <div>\n<button>\n<strong>\n<span><svg>\n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<span>Summary<\/span>\n<\/strong>\n<span><svg><\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<span><svg><\/svg>\n<\/span>\n<\/button>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Last week&#8217;s California primaries have sparked a resurgence of election fraud claims reminiscent of 2020.<\/li>\n<li>But these conspiracy theories don&#8217;t withstand scrutiny, nor do they make much political sense.<\/li>\n<li>And confronted with the lack of evidence, some GOP leaders are now arguing the fraud is real but it&#8217;s just not detectable.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<span>AI-generated summary was reviewed by a CNN editor.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            The last week has brought the largest resurgence of election denialism since the aftermath of the 2020 election. Many on the right have cried foul over late shifts toward Democrats in results from California\u2019s June 2 primary.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2237\">Southern Poverty Law Center chair put on defensive during heated congressional hearing: \u2018We don\u2019t fund hate groups\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            But as was the case six years ago, the vast majority of the theories about why voter fraud is involved don\u2019t withstand scrutiny.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And increasingly, some top Republicans seem to be dealing with the pronounced lack of evidence by arguing that the fraud is just undetectable.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Let\u2019s run through some of the biggest supposed evidence of malfeasance, and why it\u2019s not what it might seem.\n    <\/p>\n<h2>\n        Spencer Pratt\u2019s dropoff\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            The conspiracy theories began bubbling last week as two GOP candidates saw their vote shares drop after primary night.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton was in first place on election night but appeared at risk of dropping out of the top two as more votes rolled in. And Spencer Pratt, the buzzy Republican candidate for Los Angeles mayor, suddenly saw his significant election-night lead over third-place Nithya Raman, a Democratic Los Angeles City councilwoman, gradually get whittled away.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Los Angeles mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt is seen speaking with the media outside Don Antonio's restaurant on June 2, in Los Angeles, California.\" class=\"wp-image-2242\" height=\"505\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e938abfdf603afb88006875a6358683a.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e938abfdf603afb88006875a6358683a.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e938abfdf603afb88006875a6358683a-300x197.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>Los Angeles mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt is seen speaking with the media outside Don Antonio&#8217;s restaurant on June 2, in Los Angeles, California.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>HIGHFIVE\/Bauer-Griffin\/GC Images\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            A week later, Raman has beaten Pratt for the second slot against incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in what\u2019s officially a nonpartisan race, even as Hilton continues to hold off Democrat Tom Steyer for second place in the governor\u2019s race.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            This is familiar territory.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Perhaps the most oft-cited supposed evidence of voter fraud in the 2020 election was how late-counted ballots tended to go for Democrats, in some cases flipping swing states where Donald Trump was leading on election night.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But there was a very valid explanation for that: An\u202f\u202ffound that Joe Biden counties \u2014 often urban ones with lots of votes \u2014 tended to count and report more slowly than Trump counties.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And that was exacerbated by the growing partisan gap in mail ballots, which tend to be counted later and which Democrats use much more than Republicans (in large part because Trump has claimed they are prone to fraud).\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The combined effect is often called the \u201cred mirage.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            California puts the \u201cred mirage\u201d on steroids, because of its extensive use of mail ballots and how long it takes to count them. Indeed, it was predicted far and wide that Democrats would gain significantly after primary night.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And crucially, the current results look a lot like the polls did.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Bass stands at 34%, Raman at 29% and Pratt at 26%. That three-point Raman lead over Pratt is the same as a late UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Times poll (Raman 25%, Pratt 22%).\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            What\u2019s more, Pratt\u2019s vote share is similar to the 26.5% that Trump got in the city of Los Angeles in 2024.\n    <\/p>\n<h2>\n        Raman\u2019s surge \u2013 but Bass\u2019 decline?\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            Even so, some on the right have wondered what could possibly explain the size of Raman\u2019s surge. The other Democrat, Bass, actually <em>lost ground<\/em>, percentage-wise, as ballots were counted.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            If this was just about late ballots leaning Democratic, why would Raman gain so much and Bass lose ground, as a percentage?\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            There are a couple of valid explanations.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Los Angeles mayoral candidate and Nithya Raman looks on during a press conference outside of the El Mercadito market on June 1.\" class=\"wp-image-2243\" height=\"530\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/c7de45d23ae45c4e05b2bfca5aa367b6.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/c7de45d23ae45c4e05b2bfca5aa367b6.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/c7de45d23ae45c4e05b2bfca5aa367b6-300x207.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>Los Angeles mayoral candidate and Nithya Raman looks on during a press conference outside of the El Mercadito market on June 1.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Justin Sullivan\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            One is that Democratic voters were being strategic about California\u2019s unusual top-two primary system, in which the first- and second-place candidates advance regardless of party. By waiting to cast their mail ballots, the idea goes, they had a better idea of who could win or at least advance to the general election.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            The Los Angeles Times even wrote a story about this trend two days before primary day, noting how crowded the governor\u2019s race was. And CNN\u2019s Elex Michaelson spoke to Democrats who said they voted late for Raman in order to make sure Pratt didn\u2019t advance.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But there\u2019s arguably an explanation that makes even more sense, which  the Ballot Book\u2019s Mason Herron wrote about on Monday.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            It basically boils down to this: Those who cast late mail ballots skewed much younger than those who cast earlier votes, and Raman\u2019s base also skews younger. Given that, it would make sense that the democratic socialist would gain big late, while Bass \u2014 with her older base \u2014 would lose some ground.\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2235\">Vance family installs Victorian-style chicken coop at vice presidential residence<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            And this is familiar territory for Raman. In her 2024 primary for her city council seat, she was in a tight race with her Democratic opponent in the hours after polls closed \u2014 so much so that news outlets were writing that the contest (which she led 45%-43% the morning after primary night) was headed for a runoff.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But Raman didn\u2019t need a runoff. She surged over 50%, thanks to late-counted mail ballots. And she won what had looked like a tight race by 12 points.\n    <\/p>\n<h2>\n        The basic logic problem\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            Even if you set all that aside, though, the voter fraud theories in the Los Angeles mayor\u2019s race suffer from a major deficit: basic logic.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            As CNN\u2019s Harry Enten noted Monday, Bass would have actually <em>preferred<\/em> if Pratt had advanced to the general election. That\u2019s because a Republican stands very little chance of winning in deep-blue Los Angeles, and Pratt was about as unpopular as Bass was.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But Raman, a democratic socialist opponent, on the ballot? That\u2019s a major problem for Bass.\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Mayor Karen Bass walks off the stage at the Connect Los Angeles Conference on on May 28 in Los Angeles.\" class=\"wp-image-1155\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/daf869fac4802f2e28a6c916b78679d1.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/daf869fac4802f2e28a6c916b78679d1.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/daf869fac4802f2e28a6c916b78679d1-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>Mayor Karen Bass walks off the stage at the Connect Los Angeles Conference on May 28.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>William Liang\/AP<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n            Indeed, that late UC Berkeley-LA Times poll showed Bass leading Pratt by 18 points (47%-29%), but trailing Raman by four (28%-32%).\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And even if there was \u201cballot harvesting\u201d by labor unions and the like, those groups tended to support Bass, so the results wouldn\u2019t support that theory.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And then throw in the fact that Hilton still appears likely to make the general election for governor, and the question becomes why Democrats would rig the mayoral race to stop Pratt but not Hilton.\n    <\/p>\n<h2>\n        The supposed vote batches with no votes for Pratt\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            Another conspiracy theory floating on social media is that large numbers of votes were added to the tallies \u2014 tens of thousands of them, in fact \u2014 with precisely zero for Pratt.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            But there\u2019s no truth to that. It appears to be a result of a lag in how the Associated Press updated its vote totals.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            And even Trump\u2019s own DOJ has debunked this one.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            First Assistant US Attorney Bill Essayli, a Trump appointee who leads the Los Angeles-based US attorney\u2019s office, posted just before midnight on Friday that such claims were wrong.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cWe reviewed official county records. The claim is false,\u201d Essayli said. \u201cEach candidate received votes in every update.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-medium_large\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"House Speaker Mike Johnson holds a press conference at the US Capitol on June 3.\" class=\"wp-image-2244\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/4042c9fb09d892d1a29cdf5c042e1be4.jpg\" width=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/4042c9fb09d892d1a29cdf5c042e1be4.jpg 768w, https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/4042c9fb09d892d1a29cdf5c042e1be4-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<span>House Speaker Mike Johnson holds a press conference at the US Capitol on June 3.<\/span>\n<\/div>\n<figcaption>Win McNamee\/Getty Images<\/figcaption>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>\n        A shift in GOP rhetoric\n<\/h2>\n<p>\n            Some Republicans increasingly acknowledge the lack of evidence of voter fraud, but they argue that doesn\u2019t mean it didn\u2019t happen.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            They suggest the fraud is just undetectable.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            \u201cSome of these efforts are so diabolical and so far upstream it is impossible to prove,\u201d House Speaker Mike Johnson told CNN\u2019s Manu Raju on Monday. \u201cBut think everybody knows instinctively something is wrong here.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            (Johnson has previously made similar comments about the prevalence of undocumented immigrants voting, saying in 2024, \u201cWe all know intuitively that a lot of illegals are voting in federal elections, but it\u2019s not been something that is easily provable.\u201d There is no evidence of significant undocumented immigrant voting.)\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Raju on Tuesday then pressed Johnson\u2019s No. 2, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, about the lack of evidence.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n            Scalise responded: \u201cWhether you can prove fraud or not, it does undermine integrity in the vote.\u201d\n    <\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2231\">NASA reveals Artemis III crew that will take the next big step on its journey back to the moon<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n            It\u2019s certainly true that <em>someone<\/em> is undermining the integrity of the vote.\n    <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last week has brought the largest resurgence of election denialism since the aftermath of the 2020 election. Many on the right have cried foul over late shifts toward Democrats in results from California\u2019s June 2 primary.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2238,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why the GOP\u2019s voter fraud theories in California don\u2019t make sense - Relocation Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why the GOP\u2019s voter fraud theories in California don\u2019t make sense - Relocation Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The last week has brought the largest resurgence of election denialism since the aftermath of the 2020 election. 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Many on the right have cried foul over late shifts toward Democrats in results from California\u2019s June 2 primary.","og_url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245","og_site_name":"Relocation Times","article_published_time":"2026-06-09T20:37:10+00:00","og_image":[{"width":768,"height":505,"url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e938abfdf603afb88006875a6358683a.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"7 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/#\/schema\/person\/3d25fb966f660ab012820a9e0acc09be"},"headline":"Why the GOP\u2019s voter fraud theories in California don\u2019t make sense","datePublished":"2026-06-09T20:37:10+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245"},"wordCount":1441,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/f7b4f19bbcb64bf82ffba0b9aea9a5ce.jpg","articleSection":["Politics"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245","url":"https:\/\/relocationtimess.com\/?p=2245","name":"Why the GOP\u2019s voter fraud theories in California don\u2019t make sense - 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